Jalen Hurts Super Bowl Props
As Super Bowl LVII Chiefs vs. Eagles approaches, we at Action Network are analyzing every possible betting angle for the big game.
That includes individual positional previews. I've been tasked with the quarterbacks, and this piece is dedicated solely to Jalen Hurts.
Hurts hasn't been asked to do much during this playoff run as the Eagles have gone up big early and cruised in both playoff games. Additionally, Hurts is possibly still dealing with a shoulder injury he originally suffered during the regular season.
Put both those facts together, and I bet Hurts is undervalued in the Super Bowl 57 player prop market.
Betting Picks
I bet the shoulder injury is overblown. Hurts has looked only slightly bothered by his right shoulder during this playoff run, and he gets two weeks to get back into game shape.
Hurts has had 20 rush attempts during this postseason run, even with the injury. And both games were blowouts, meaning he likely could've had more if Nick Sirianni didn't hand it off for the entire second half.
Pre-injury, Hurts was pretty active in the rushing game. He tallied double-digit carries in seven of 14 games and recorded at least 15 carries six times.
Most importantly, Hurts has cashed over 10.5 rush attempts in six of nine games decided by two touchdowns or less. I'm not expecting a blowout in Super Bowl LVII.
Hurts is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the NFL, and the Eagles' rush game was so dynamic because it made defenses defend 11-on-11 on the ground.
It's going to be very hard for the Chiefs to stop their read-option offense.
For starters, Philadelphia finished sixth in offensive line yards this season, while Kansas City was 21st in defensive line yards. The Eagles are going to truck the Chiefs' front seven.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs allowed the third-most rush attempts and the fifth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks. Jarrett Stidham, Russell Wilson, Joe Burrow, Bryce Perkins and Malik Willis all recorded at least 40 rushing yards against Kansas City.
To be fair, it's partly scheme. Kansas City has the fifth-highest pressure rate in the league, but is an average tackling team, so quarterbacks often scramble and can break tackles.
Either way, this is a plus-plus matchup for Hurts and I'm expecting plenty of these runs on Super Bowl Sunday:
Jalen Hurts reminds me more and more of Steve McNair. Those Titans teams were Super Bowl contenders, led by his dual-threat ability and toughness. Just like this Eagles team. pic.twitter.com/CtApJHLSLS
— Joe Giglio (@JoeGiglioSports) September 20, 2022
Hurts' rushing props are severely depressed in the market, and he's in for a monster performance on the ground with a great matchup. I expect healthy doses of both designed runs and scrambles, and for everything to work to perfection.
I'm betting heavily on Hurts' rushing props for Super Bowl LVII, double-dipping in both rush attempts and rush yards markets.
Pick: Jalen Hurts Over 10.5 Rush Attempts |
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Pick: Over 49.5 Rushing Yards |
