The Detroit Lions will be without a handful of key skill-position players for Sunday's game against the Seattle Seahawks, including running back D'Andre Swift and wide receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown and DJ Chark.
This opens the door for Jamaal Williams, who should be in line for a massive workload.
Williams has already been a valuable contributor for Detroit this season, rushing for 168 yards and punching in four touchdowns, which is tied for the most in the NFL heading into Week 4.
The Lions running back is expected to see plenty of touches against the Seahawks, so what is the smartest way to bet Williams' player props?
Should bettors be targeting overs to take advantage? Or has the market over-adjusted in anticipation of a big day from Williams?
Using Action Lab's NFL player prop picks, here's the smartest way to bet on Williams this afternoon.
Jamaal Williams Player Prop Pick
Does it make sense that Williams will see his fair share of handoffs in this game? Absolutely.
However, our NFL player props tool suggests the latest rushing attempts over/under has moved a bit too much.
This tool projects Williams' carries at 16, earning a grade of eight (on a scale of 1-10) considering this line currently sits at 16.5 with a vig of +115 toward the under.
It's also important to note that while the market is settled at 16.5 for Williams' rushing attempts, the vig does vary from shop to shop.
For example, DraftKings has this under at +115 while BetMGM and BetRivers are both at +100.
