Browns vs Jets Player Props: David Njoku, Trevor Siemian, Tyler Conklin
In the table below, you'll find each of Sam Farley's Jets vs Browns player props for Thursday Night Football. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific NFL prop discussed in this article.
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Everyone knows how good the Jets defense is. It’s one of the reasons they've managed a 6-9 record despite some of the worst quarterback play in recent memory.
That said, if the Jets defense does have a weakness, it's tight ends — they've allowed eight touchdowns to the position, which is tied for the second most in the league. Last week, Logan Thomas caught 5-of-6 targets for 36 yards and a touchdown.
The Browns offense has been formidable with Joe Flacco at quarterback. Amari Cooper has obviously benefited, and so has David Njoku, who's scored four of his six touchdowns in his last three games, a stretch in which he's seen a healthy 31 targets.
Given his connection with Flacco, volume of targets and the Jets struggling against tight ends, +210 for an Anytime TD seems like monster value.
It's going to be Trevor Siemian starting under center for the Jets again this week, and it's hard to see it going well.
In his first start of the season, Siemian completed 27-of-49 attempts for 217 yards, one touchdown and one interception against the Commanders. Considering that Washington is 31st in passing yards allowed per game (261.6), it wasn't an inspiring output.
Now Siemian has to face a Browns defense that ranks first overall in DVOA and second in pass DVOA. They're the opposite of the Commanders, ranking first in pass yards allowed per game (160.1).
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Conklin has gone over 26.5 receiving yards nine times in 15 games this season. He's been hot of late, going over this number in four of his last five games.
The Browns defend tight ends well and haven’t given up that much yardage to the position, but I think we’re going to see Siemian lean on Conklin when pressured.
Conklin has seen 29 targets in his last four games — if he continues to see that kind of volume on TNF, he could cover once again.
Pick: Tyler Conklin Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
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