Joe Burrow, Josh Allen Player Props: Bengals vs Bills Plays

Joe Burrow, Josh Allen Player Props: Bengals vs Bills Plays article feature image
Credit:

Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Burrow (left), Josh Allen (right).

  • A trip to the AFC Championship Game is on the line with Bengals vs. Bills.
  • The two star QBs will likely have a huge say in how this game is decided.
  • Tanner McGrath breaks down how to bet and play Joe Burrow and Josh Allen.

Sunday’s final AFC Divisional Round playoff game features two of the NFL elite quarterbacks as Joe Burrow battles Josh Allen in Western New York.

Remember, there’s always value in the player props market. By prop shopping around different sportsbooks, I’ve found ways to bet on these superstar signal-callers in Sunday afternoon’s game.

If you’re looking for different ways to bet on NFL player props, I’d recommend PrizePicks. The app allows you to parlay NFL player props for real money in 30 states, including states where online betting is unavailable.

Let’s consider how to bet on Allen and Burrow in the Bengals vs. Bills game.

Bet on Allen, Pass on Burrow

This game should be a shootout.

These are two of the more pass-heavy teams in the league, with Cincinnati and Buffalo ranking second and third in Pass Rate Over Expectation, respectively. Both teams are top 10 in passing plays for and against per game.

We are heading toward a monster passing game, and the total approaching 50 confirms that.

However, there are a few reasons I’m backing Allen but shying away from Burrow.

First, Burrow’s offensive line is cooked. The Bengals have never been strong in that area, but now they’re banged up. Adam Schefter’s recent updates for Jonah Williams and Alex Cappa don't give me much hope.

Bengals ruled out LT Jonah Williams and RG Alex Cappa for Sunday’s Divisional Playoff vs. the Bills.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) January 20, 2023

Second, Allen has more consistently hit his passing yards prop number than Burrow has.

Allen is averaging a whopping 295 yards per game in seven career playoff contests, and he’s tossed for at least 300 yards in four of his last six appearances.

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Meanwhile, Burrow has stayed under 250 passing yards in three of five playoff games.

Additionally, Cincinnati's defense has been vulnerable through the air recently. Eight of the last 10 quarterbacks the Bengals faced have cashed on their passing yards prop. Notably, Eli Apple is getting burned on a consistent basis.

Demarcus Robinson vs Eli Apple 🤧
pic.twitter.com/WOLu5P5O2T

— PFF (@PFF) January 16, 2023

The Bills have been a consistent top-10 passing defense all season. And while Skyler Thompson and Mac Jones eclipsed their passing yards prop, neither performed well from an efficiency standpoint.

I’ll be on Josh Allen. Check out the Action Labs Player Props Tool to find the best possible line for Allen’s passing yards total.

Pick: Josh Allen Over 275.5 Pass Yards

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


And if you’re still interested in PrizePicks – as you should be – Allen’s passing yards line is a very low 265.5.

About the Author
Tanner recently joined the Action Network team to cover college basketball. He’s a McGill University grad and former (Canadian) Division I alpine ski racer who now spends his time drinking beer and betting home underdogs. The Falcons blew a 28-3 lead in Super Bowl 51.

Follow Tanner McGrath @tannerstruth on Twitter/X.

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