The public is riding with both teams' running backs for Monday Night Football's Bengals vs. Browns.
Joe Mixon and Nick Chubb have the two most popular NFL player props for Monday Night Football.
The public is also optimistic about Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd against a Browns defense ranked fifth-worst at DVOA.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Bengals vs. Browns Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Joe Mixon to score 1st touchdown (+600)
- Nick Chubb to score anytime touchdown (-120)
- Tyler Boyd under 62.5 receiving yards (-120)
*Odds and data are according to BetMGM as of Monday afternoon.
One of our premier data gurus, Nick Giffen, assessed the value on all of these props and indicates an edge for Joe Mixon to score the first TD of the game.
Giffen said the predictive analytics team has determined the fair value of that line as +567. That means there's a betting edge of about 1% there.
That's even more if you use BetMGM's first TD insurance promotion, which refunds your wager up to $25 for the first touchdown market.
The PromoGuy – one of our writers who specializes in promotions – has utilized that deal for most primetime games and has returned a substantial profit on investment.
He's going with Mixon tonight at that price, too.
Tyler Boyd's receiving total has a little bit of value, Giffen said. Our director of predictive analytics Sean Koerner projects Boyd at 60 yards. Giffen added that even with Ja'Marr Chase out, Boyd shouldn't see enough volume to make it up to 63 yards.
And with Chubb's TD prop, the fair value is -107, so there's no value at -120.
