An NFL Week 1 game on a Friday and an eye-popping Jordan Love prop pick sitting atop our Action PRO Projections?
The new season has officially arrived!
The Green Bay Packers take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Friday (8:15 p.m. ET, Peacock) in São Paulo, Brazil, and a very competitive game is expected based on the latest NFL odds.
Philadelphia sits as a 2-point spread favorite as of the time of writing, with the over/under settled at a consensus of 49.
Additionally, Action Network's NFL public betting data is reporting 69% of tickets taking the Packers, while 78% of bets are on the over to this point.
So that begs the question: What is the best bet for Friday night's matchup?
Trick question …
The smartest way to bet Packers vs. Eagles may very well be through a surprising Jordan Love prop pick.
Jordan Love Rushing Yardage Over/Under Prop Pick
*Odds and projection as of Thursday afternoon
Packers quarterback Jordan Love isn't necessarily known for his running ability, which is why his rushing over/under sits at just 7.5 yards for Green Bay's Week 1 game against Philadelphia.
However, Action PRO projects Love for 12 rushing yards on Friday night, which makes sense based on last year's data.
Love cleared 7.5 rushing yards in 10 of 17 regular-season games in 2023, good for a 58.8% win rate.
In fact, the difference between our projection and the current line results in a whopping 24.3% edge, which currently ranks as the third-largest player prop edge of the entire NFL Week 1 slate of games.
PRO Pick: Jordan Love Over 7.5 (-106) Rushing Yards — FanDuel