Broncos vs Chiefs Odds
| Broncos Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -120 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | +260 |
| Chiefs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 +100 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | -320 |
Broncos vs. Chiefs odds have Kansas City installed as a seven-point favorite across the board against Denver in Week 8. The Chiefs are -320 favorites to win outright, while the Broncos are +260 underdogs with an over/under of 46.
The Broncos have not had nearly as much success as the Chiefs this season. Denver has one of the worst defenses in the NFL and although its offense is not bad on paper, it seems to struggle to get any sort of momentum going. Kansas City has beaten Denver 16 straight times. Can the Broncos put an end to this dominance?
Let's preview the game and break down why we're backing the K.C. offense for a big game with our Broncos vs. Chiefs pick.
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Matchup Analysis
First and foremost, it is worth noting that the weather in Denver will play a huge factor in this game. The forecast includes a high of 29 degrees, with anywhere from 6-14 inches of snow. The wind won’t be much of a factor, topping out at 10 mph. At first glance, you would think this sets up for a low-scoring slugfest. I don’t think this is the case.
When the football field is snowy and traction is tough to come by, it tends to favor the offense. It makes me think of the Patriots/Titans game in 2009, where Tom Brady proceeded to throw for six touchdowns in a 59-0 blowout. I expect to see the weather set both teams up for a lot of passing situations, which will keep both defenses on their toes.
You don’t need me to tell you that the Chiefs have a huge advantage here. Not only does Mahomes spread the ball out, but he goes deep as well. He has tallied two passes this season that have traveled 50+ yards, four that traveled 40+ yards, and 12 that traveled 30+. I expect that Kansas City will encourage Mahomes to air the ball out frequently in this matchup.
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What about Denver? Well, their pass offense isn’t as bad as you would think. They are averaging seven yards per pass attempt, and 10.6 yards per catch. Russell Wilson is not afraid to take shots down the field either! He has tallied 20 passes that have traveled 20+ yards, and three that have traveled 50+ yards. Both of these quarterbacks aren’t scared to take shots downfield.
Denver’s defense is really bad. If you have watched any Broncos football, this is no surprise to you. They are allowing a league-worst 6.5 yards per play, a league-worst 5.5 yards per rush, and a 2nd worst 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Most of the yards they give up in the passing game are from yards acquired after the catch, as they are allowing over 1,000 yards after the catch.
If Kansas City airs it out as I anticipate, the slippery conditions could make for a long day for the Denver defense.
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Betting Picks & Predictions
Kansas City’s game plan should be clear, throw the ball far, and throw the ball often. The slippery conditions will bring the Chiefs plenty of opportunities to put points on the board, and I don’t see the Chiefs letting up in this divisional game.
