Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Spread, How To Watch NFL Week 5

Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Spread, How To Watch NFL Week 5 article feature image
Credit:

Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Gardner Minshew (left) and Bo Nix.

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-2) and Denver Broncos (2-2) will kick off the Sunday afternoon slate of NFL Week 5. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver on FOX. The game can be streamed on YouTube TV and other streaming platforms.

The Broncos are consensus 3-point favorites over the Raiders (Broncos -3) after the spread opened at Broncos -1 before the season. The over/under is 36.5 after opening at 41. The Broncos are -150 favorites to win outright, with the Raiders are +125 to pull off the upset.

The Broncos won 10-9 over the Jets last week. Denver has won back-to-back games as big road underdogs. Bo Nix struggled, though, going 12-of-25 for just 60 yards and a touchdown while Denver ran for 126 yards. The Raiders won 20-16 at home over the Browns. Las Vegas ran for 152 yards, led by 60 from Alexander Mattison and 50 from Zamir White.

Let's get into my Raiders vs. Broncos prediction and my NFL picks and predictions for Week 5.

Raiders vs. Broncos Expert Picks

Spread

My pick is on Denver here. The spread started the week at Broncos -1.5 but has been bet up. I would play this is under -3.

Moneyline

If you can't get lower than Broncos -3, then I'd be OK with a bet on the Broncos moneyline.

Over/Under

I have no pick for the game total on this one.

My Pick: Broncos -2.5 (bet moneyline if spread reaches -3)

Raiders vs. Broncos Odds, Point Spread, Total, Lines

Raiders Logo
Sunday, Oct. 6
4:05 p.m. ET
FOX
Broncos Logo
Raiders Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
+100
36
-110 / -110
+125
Broncos Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-120
36
-110 / -110
-150
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Raiders vs. Broncos spread: Broncos -2.5
  • Raiders vs. Broncos over/under: 36 points
  • Raiders vs. Broncos moneyline: Broncos -150, Raiders +125
  • Raiders vs. Broncos pick:Broncos -2.5 (bet moneyline if spread reaches -3)

My Broncos vs. Raiders best bet is on Denver. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.

  • 79% of bets and 54% of the money are on the Raiders to cover the spread.
  • 88% of bets and 74% of the money are on the over.
  • 59% of bets and 44% of the money on the moneyline are on the Raiders.

Raiders vs. Broncos NFL Week 5

The Broncos defense has been excellent this season, and it gets a great matchup here. The Raiders aren’t going to have Davante Adams, and they already have struggled to run the ball this season.

Gardner Minshew is going to face a defense that ranks in the top five in both pressure rate and DVOA, and it’s first in the NFL in allowing just 4.2 yards per play. When under pressure, Minshew’s passer rating goes from 96 to 62 this season. He’s probably due for more mistakes than he’s already made this season.

And the Raiders' ground game is awful. Las Vegas’ rushing success rate is dead last by a mile. Antonio Pierce is probably going to end up giving Alexander Mattison more carries, and we know how that’s going to go. The minute he’s elevated into a role above being a backup, it all goes downhill.

Overall, there’s nothing this Broncos defense can’t do. Cornerbacks Ja'Quan McMillian and Riley Moss are playing well opposite Patrick Surtain II, who’s one of the best players in the NFL right now.

This Broncos team is already in the middle of the pack in DVOA, and you know Sean Payton is going to keep figuring it out. Last season, he dragged that team to eight wins between Russell Wilson and Jarrett Stidham.

Both of these teams were extremely lucky to win last week. The Browns had an 82-yard touchdown called back for a questionable penalty late in the game that would’ve given them the lead. Denver, meanwhile, snuck out of New York with a 10-9 win over the Jets.

There are more reasons to believe Denver is the more legitimate team here, though. The defense is capable of shutting down the Raiders, while the Vegas defense ranks in the bottom 10 in pretty much every significant metric.

I’d play the Broncos under -3 or on the moneyline.

Pick: Broncos -2.5 (bet moneyline if spread reaches -3)

How to Watch: Time, Channel, Streaming

Location:Empower Field at Mile High
Date:Sunday, Oct. 6
Kickoff Time:4:05 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:FOX / YouTube TV

Broncos vs. Raiders is scheduled for a 4:05 p.m. ET start time, live from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on Sunday, Oct. 6. The game is broadcasted live by FOX and is streaming on YouTube TV.

NFL Weather

Get the latest coverage on NFL Weather.

About the Author
Chris Raybon is a senior betting analyst at the Action Network, specializing in NFL, NBA, and fantasy football betting. He hosts The Action Network Podcast, with profitable NFL ATS picks every season, and the Fantasy Flex Podcast, while regularly appearing on NBA TV’s NBA BET and Turner Sports’ The Line. With over 15 years of betting experience, Chris boasts a 57% all-time winning percentage on NFL bets and top-5 finishes in FantasyPros accuracy rankings.

Follow Chris Raybon @ChrisRaybon on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.