Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Predictions, Odds, Preview: NFL Picks Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins Predictions, Odds, Preview: NFL Picks Week 11 article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Gardner Minshew (left) and Tua Tagovailoa.

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-7-0) and Miami Dolphins (3-6-0) clash in NFL Week 11. Kickoff is set for in 1 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. The game will be broadcast live on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+ or YouTube TV.

The Dolphins are favored by 7.5 points over the Raiders (Dolphins -7.5) with the game total set at 44. Miami is a -360 favorite to win outright, while Las Vegas is +280 to pull off the upset.

The Dolphins won 23-15 over the Rams on Monday Night Football. Miami snapped a three-game losing streak as its defense forced two turnovers and contained the Rams offense. The Raiders are coming off their bye week. Las Vegas has lost five straight games as its offense has sputtered all season, averaging just 18.7 points per game.

Let's get into my Dolphins vs Raiders predictions and NFL picks.


Raiders vs. Dolphins Odds, Pick, Prediction

Raiders Logo
Sunday, Nov. 17
1 p.m. ET
CBS
Dolphins Logo
Raiders Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+7.5
-120
44
-110o / -110u
+280
Dolphins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-7.5
+100
44
-110o / -110u
-360
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Raiders vs. Dolphins spread: Dolphins -7.5
  • Raiders vs. Dolphins over/under: 44 points scored
  • Raiders vs. Dolphins moneyline: Dolphins -360, Raiders +280
  • Raiders vs. Dolphins best bet: Under 44 (-110)

MyRaiders vs. Dolphins best bet is on the under. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.


Spread

Miami is showing promise after a huge win on the road on Monday Night Football. Despite that and the clear edge over the Raiders, we are not recommending a pick on the spread.

Moneyline

With that, we are not betting the moneyline.

Over/Under

Our PRO systems show an edge on the under. Miami's offense isn't firing on all cylinders, while Gardner Minshew is still leading a potentially aimless Raiders offense.

My Pick: Under 44 (-110)

Raiders vs. Dolphins NFL Week 11 Preview

Get ready for weather, which will be popping up for late-season NFL games.

One team that typically benefits from favorable conditions at home during this time of year is the Dolphins — unlike teams in the north gearing up for cold.

This week, as the Dolphins gear up to face the Raiders, there's a noticeable trend affecting betting lines that savvy bettors should take note of.

Interestingly, the over/under for the Dolphins-Raiders game has been dropping steadily. Our analysis reveals that both sharp bettors and significant money are leaning toward the under.

Another driving factor is the High Winds PRO System, which historically indicates that games with similar conditions go under 57% of the time.

Currently, forecasts predict winds of 13 mph during the game, a factor that could further disrupt passing plays and lead to a lower-scoring game.

Is there a more misunderstood team in the over/under market than the Fins? Although Tua Tagovailoa’s return boosts Miami’s overall outlook, the scheme isn’t catching anyone off guard this season.

Meanwhile, the Raiders struggle to maintain drives consistently and rely heavily on explosive plays from players like Brock Bowers and Tre Tucker.

Using subtle elements in the forecast, the play is on under 44 (-110).

My Pick: Under 44 (-110)


Betting Trends

NFL Weather

Get the latest coverage on NFL Weather.

About the Author
Alex began his career as a freelancer before becoming a columnist, reporter, and breaking news writer for FanRag Sports, and later the leading gambling writer at theScore. He joined the Action Network as a senior news editor, handling breaking news and the sports betting market's reactions. Alex also works on Action Network’s PRO projections, transforming subscription-based models into user-friendly content.

Follow Alex Kolodziej @KolodziejAlex on Twitter/X.

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