Thursday Night Football's Ravens vs. Bucs matchup will prove incredibly consequential to the rest of Tampa's season after a series of offensive duds have left the team clinging onto the division lead in an abysmal NFC South.
And yet, on Thursday Night Football, the public is incredibly bullish about that very same offense, despite all their foibles.
That might be on account of Baltimore's middling defense, especially against the run.
So, it's no surprise that Leonard Fournette leads the charge for the most popular NFL player prop bet for Thursday Night Football's Ravens vs. Bucs.
The public is also optimistic that Mike Evans has a bounce-back game after a terrible showing against the Panthers last week.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Ravens vs. Bucs Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Leonard Fournette to score the game's first touchdown (+800)
- Mike Evans to score a touchdown at any time (+105)
- Mike Evans to record 69 or more receiving yards (-120)
*Odds and data are according to BetMGM as of Thursday morning.
One of our premier data gurus, Nick Giffen, assessed the value on all of these props and indicates potential value on rushing props.
That's on account of the Ravens' 23rd-best rush defense and other matchup deficiencies on Baltimore's defense.
Fournette's first TD odds at +800 are just about fair value, with the Action Network's director of predictive analytics Sean Koerner saying the chances of that occurring are about 11% (roughly +810).
As for the two Mike Evans props, they're passes, Giffen said.
Evans' anytime TD fair value is +167, which means BetMGM's line at +105 provides 11.3% less value.
Evans' projected receiving total is also at 67.5 yards, which means the under is the more valuable play in that marketplace.
