Lions vs. 49ers NFC Championship Game Most Valuable Props: Brock Purdy, Jahmyr Gibbs

Lions vs. 49ers NFC Championship Game Most Valuable Props: Brock Purdy, Jahmyr Gibbs article feature image
Credit:

Cooper Neill/Getty Images. Pictured: Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers.

Lions vs. 49ers Most Valuable Props

Lions Logo
Sunday, Jan 28
6 pm ET
FOX
49ers Logo
Lions Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+7.5
-110
44.5
-110o / -110u
+265
49ers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-7.5
-110
50.5
-110o / -110u
-330
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have targeted three top selections for this NFC Championship Game matchup between the Lions and 49ers on Sunday night.

The betting models are targeting 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy and Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs.

We also have the public's favorite picks for this matchup. Our algorithms for Lions vs. 49ers are developed by our predictive analytics team, which make empirical predictions on every game with value and have created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings.

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Lions vs. 49ers Most Valuable Prop Bets

  1. Jahmyr Gibbs under 3.5 receptions (-115)
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs under 23.5 receiving yards (-104)
  3. Brock Purdy over 7.5 rushing yards (-105)
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Lions vs. 49ers

Where's The Value?

The models simulate thousands of iterations of this particular matchups — with roster adjustments in mind — and project an average figure for each player's props.Gibbs encompasses the top two most valuable props for the day, according to our algorithms. Gibbs is projected to put up roughly just 2.4 receptions on average on a 3.5 reception total. That market-best line is at DraftKings.

Meanwhile, Gibbs is only projected to put up 17 receiving yards on a 23.5 yard total. That line is at Caesars.

As for Purdy's rushing yard total, he's projected by our models to put up 10 yards on a 7.5 yard total.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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