Bears vs Lions Odds
| Bears Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | -152 |
| Lions Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | +128 |
The Lions are coming off their best win of the season after taking down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week. Whether it was a product of the offensive ineptitude of Green Bay or just good defense, the Lions held the Pack to just nine points.
The Bears, on the other hand, lost a shootout to the Dolphins but showed a lot of good things, specifically on offense, where Justin Fields set the NFL record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 178. He also accounted for four total touchdowns and looks very much like the quarterback of the future for the Bears.
While it feels unlikely, the Bears are only 1.5 games back of the final playoff spot in the NFC.
This game features two pretty bad defenses, and there should absolutely be some scoring in this spot.
Lions vs. Bears Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Lions and Bears match up statistically:
Lions vs. Bears DVOA Breakdown
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 12 | 31 | |
| Pass DVOA | 14 | 30 | |
| Rush DVOA | 11 | 28 | |
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 23 | 26 | |
| Pass DVOA | 27 | 26 | |
| Rush DVOA | 15 | 26 | |
There is a clear mismatch here for the Bears to exploit as the Lions rank 26th in rush defense DVOA and 28th in yards per carry allowed. The Bears rank second in the NFL in yards per carry on the ground. I would expect Matt Eberflus to devise a run-centric game plan centered around his stud quarterback Fields, while both Khalil Herbert and David Montgomery divvy up the running back touches.
Fields has really started utilizing his legs over the past few weeks, having posted 80+ rushing yards and a rushing touchdown in each of his past three games. The Lions will have a hard time containing him this week, very similar to how they had trouble containing Jalen Hurts in Week 1.
Lions +3 | Bears -3
As for the Lions, their offense should look a bit better than it has. Neither Amon-Ra St. Brown nor D'Andre Swift carries an injury designation for this divisional tilt.
Not having T.J. Hockenson will prove to be costly, but I expect Detroit to be able to move the ball this week in all facets of the game. It's not surprising Jared Goff struggled against the Green Bay defense last week; the Packers lead the NFL in QB pressure percentage.
The Bears, on the other hand, sit 29th in that category, meaning Goff should have a clean pocket for the majority of his dropbacks this week. Chicago sits 28th in rush defense DVOA and 30th in pass defense DVOA.
Goff is quietly having a pretty decent season, sitting 15th in the NFL in QBR and 11th in yards per attempt, while throwing 14 touchdowns to seven picks.
Betting Picks
I expect there to be quite a bit of scoring in this game. The Bears offense seems to be really coming on as Fields continues to progress.
The Lions will have absolutely no answer for Fields' dual-threat ability, and we should see some more Chase Claypool this week after he saw just 26 snaps last week in his first game with the Bears.
For the Lions, their two stud playmakers – D'Andre Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown – are both healthy and ready to go, which should make life much easier for Goff. Having Swift out there as a security blanket to dump off to when your first reads are not there is incredibly valuable for this offense.
Just as bad as Detroit's defense has been, its offense has been almost as good. The Lions rank 11th in the NFL in points scored, and the way they play elicits a ton of shootouts.
This game has a total of 48.5, which is the second highest on the Week 10 slate behind Kansas City vs. Jacksonville. I will take the over here, as I just don't see how either defense plays well in this spot. The Lions are coming off an emotional win against a division rival and now are going on the road to face this red-hot Bears offense.
Good luck.
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
