Lions vs Cowboys Player Props: Jared Goff, Dak Prescott, Amon-Ra St. Brown
In the table below, you'll find each of my Lions vs Cowboys player props for this NFL Week 17 primetime clash. I have props for Jared Goff, Dak Prescott and Amon-Ra St. Brown.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Lions vs. Cowboys
Jared Goff
Over 252.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Few teams have been able to slow down this Lions offense that ranks top five in both scoring and yards per play. However, Detroit usually lights up the scoreboard out of necessity as opposed to casually walking the ball down the field in blowouts.
The Lions defense ranks 24th in scoring and 22nd in yards allowed per play, and because of their flaws on this side of the ball, the betting odds see them as steep underdogs against Dallas.
On the flip side, the Cowboys offense ranks second in scoring and sixth in total yardage. If the Lions are going to keep this game competitive, they will likely need to score a bunch of points – and if they don’t, there’s a good chance they will be forced to utilize a pass-heavy script while playing from behind.
Jared Goff has cleared the 255-yard passing mark in seven of his last 10 games — that number has had a high floor recently considering he fell short of 235 yards just twice in that span. I’ll back Goff to have another solid outing in the yardage department in a tough matchup.
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Lions vs. Cowboys
Dak Prescott
Under 284.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Not too long ago, Dak Prescott was considered a legitimate MVP candidate after looking like a superstar in pushover matchups against the Patriots, Jets, Giants (twice), Panthers, Commanders and Chargers. However, those conversations have come to a screeching halt in the aftermath of Dallas dropping its latest two affairs against the Bills and Dolphins.
That said, the Cowboys are still receiving way too much respect in this spot for a team that has posted only one win over an opponent with a winning percentage of .535 or better this season (Philadelphia). You can’t fault them for beating the teams on their schedule, but at this point, we have a solid sample of data indicating how they tend to fare against top-shelf competition. Quite frankly, it's clear the Cowboys’ offensive numbers are inflated by huge outlier performances in blowouts against lackluster defenses.
Prescott threw for 330-plus yards in matchups against the Giants, Commanders and Eagles – and he threw for 299 against the Seahawks and 304 against the Rams. However, those five games have had a lasting impact on his player prop lines. Prescott has tallied less than 275 passing yards in 10-of-15 games so far this season – and he’s fallen short of that number in three straight games entering this week.
Prescott draws a favorable matchup on Saturday against a Lions secondary that ranks 23rd in passing yards allowed per game and 25th in yards allowed per pass attempt. Still, this number is too high given the current state of the Cowboys offense.
Pick: Dak Prescott Under 284.5 Passing Yards (-110)
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Lions vs. Cowboys
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Over 99.5 Receiving Yards (+200)
The Lions entered the season with incredibly lofty expectations after closing their previous campaign with wins in eight of their last 10 games – for the most part, they’ve lived up to the hype. Detroit clinched the NFC North for the first time in 30 years by earning its 11th win of the season last week.
None of it would have been possible without the steady production of a Lions aerial attack that ranks fifth in passing yards per game and eighth in yards per attempt through the air. Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the team in most major receiving categories with an average of 92 yards on 7.6 receptions per game to go along with eight touchdowns – and his production has been incredibly steady.
St. Brown has tallied 77-plus receiving yards in 10 of his 14 outings this season – he cleared the 100-yard receiving mark on eight of those occasions, which includes back-to-back performances of 100-plus yards.
His receiving yards prop is listed at 79.5 at most books, but I’d rather roll the dice on the possibility of St. Brown crossing the century mark in a third straight game at a juicy plus-money price tag.
Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 99.5 Receiving Yards (+200)
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