Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds: NFL Week 13 Pick

Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds: NFL Week 13 Pick article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Herbert (left), Kirk Cousins.

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) and Atlanta Falcons (6-5) meet in NFL Week 13 at 1 p.m. ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. The game will be broadcast live on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+ or YouTube TV.

The Chargers are favored by 1 point with the game total set at 47 points scored. The Chargers are -120 favorites to win outright, while the Falcons are +100 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Chargers vs. Falcons picks and NFL picks.

The Chargers lost 30-23 to the Ravens on Monday Night Football to snap their four-game winning streak. Justin Herbert only averaged 6.1 yards per attempt and was sacked four times. The Falcons are coming off their bye week and have lost two straight. Two weeks ago, Atlanta lost 38-6 in Denver and only gained 226 yards of offense.

Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction

Spread

I'll take the point here with Atlanta.

The Chargers defense is a good matchup for Kirk Cousins. I think Los Angeles' unit is slightly overrated given the level of competition it faced early in the season.

I'll take whatever points (or point) on the Falcons.

My Pick: Falcons +1

Moneyline

I prefer to take whatever points I can get with Atlanta instead of betting its moneyline.

Over/Under

I have no projection on this game total, although it could be a high-scoring affair.

Chargers vs. Falcons Odds

Chargers Logo
Sunday, Dec. 1
1:00 p.m. ET
CBS
Falcons Logo
Chargers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1
-110
47
-110o / -110u
-120
Falcons Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1
-110
47
-110o / -110u
+100
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Chargers vs. Falcons spread: Chargers -1
  • Chargers vs. Falcons over/under: 47.5 points scored
  • Chargers vs. Falcons moneyline: Chargers -120, Falcons +100
  • Chargers vs. Falcons prediction: Falcons +1

My Falcons vs. Chargers pick is on Atlanta to cover the spread. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.

Chargers vs. Falcons Preview

First off, this is a brutal scheduling spot for the Chargers.

They played the Ravens on Monday Night Football in Los Angeles, travel across the country to face the Falcons on Sunday and then go to Kansas City to play the Chiefs next week.

The Chargers are dealing with a number of injuries. The key one is running back J.K. Dobbins, who has been ruled out due to a knee injury he suffered against the Ravens.

That’s big for the Falcons, who don’t create any pressure off the edge but can through the middle. The Chargers’ elite pair of offensive tackles — Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater — take the edge rushers away.

While Justin Herbert has come on in recent weeks, his offensive weapons are still pretty underwhelming.

We thought second-year wideout Quentin Johnston was coming around, but he put up a donut on Monday night against a Ravens defense that is below average against the pass.

Herbert has one reliable weapon on the outside in rookie Ladd McConkey and will now be facing a Falcons secondary that’s getting healthier.

Atlanta was without basically its entire starting secondary in its blowout loss against the Broncos before the bye, so that will be a big boost.

On the other side of the ball, Kirk Cousins should be able to operate from a pretty clean pocket.

The Chargers defense generally drops back into coverage and doesn’t put the opposing quarterback under a lot of pressure, which is ideal for the statuesque Cousins. His splits when under pressure compared to a clean pocket are drastic.

I’m not sold on a Chargers defense that started the season playing some of the worst offenses in the NFL. We’ve learned much more about Los Angeles over the past two weeks, when it struggled against the Bengals and Ravens.

I think Cousins will be able to cook and believe this is a great buy-low spot on Atlanta.

My Pick: Falcons +1 (-110)


Chargers vs. Falcons Betting Trends

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About the Author
Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Follow Stuckey @Stuckey2 on Twitter/X.

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