Titans vs. Patriots Odds
Titans Odds | +7 |
Patriots Odds | -7 |
Over/Under | 43.5 |
Date | Sunday, Nov. 28 |
Time | 1 p.m. ET |
Channel | CBS |
Odds are according to DraftKings
The Tennessee Titans will travel to Massachusetts to take on the New England Patriots on Sunday. It's a battle between the Nos. 1 and 5 seeds in the AFC playoff picture.
The Titans are seven-point road underdogs despite their position atop the conference. It's also despite five straight wins across October and November, including four against incredibly solid teams. They ripped off four straight wins against the Bills, Chiefs, Colts and Rams.
But last week, Tennessee put up an absolute dud last week against the Texans and never held a lead against one of the worst teams in football. It's a massive reason why this week's line is as high as it is.
That, and the fact that advanced analytics hate the Titans. They're ranked just 22nd in total offense and 12th in defense, according to Football Outsider's DVOA.
But, to be fair, Tennessee has been defying those same analytics all season. Even though the Titans' offense and defense have been ranked poorly all year relative to the rest of the league, they still sit No. 1 in the AFC.
Meanwhile, the Patriots have ripped off five straight wins after a tough overtime loss to the Dallas Cowboys in October.
Their defense is ranked 2nd in football and Mac Jones has solidified pole position for the Rookie of the Year Award. Jones is the -105 favorite at DraftKings.
Jones is averaging 213.6 passing yards, 1.4 touchdowns and just 0.4 interceptions over this five-game winning streak.
And he's got the two most popular player prop picks for this week's game, too.
Titans v. Patriots Most Popular Player Prop Picks
- Mac Jones to record more than 225.5 passing yards (-115)
- Mac Jones to throw for more than 1.5 touchdowns (+100)
- Ryan Tannehill to throw for more than 215.5 passing yards (-115)
Mac Jones has thrown for more than 225.5 passing yards in six out of 11 games, but he hasn't done so over the past four games. The Patriots tend to go to the run more often, especially when they're in the lead.
As for the second-most popular prop pick, Jones has thrown for two touchdowns or more in just four out of 11 games.
While the Titans had a terrible record against the pass earlier in the season, they've improved to No. 13 in the NFL against quarterback drop backs.
The value on each Jones prop isn't fantastic. I'd pass on each.
As for Ryan Tannehill's passing yard prop, he's fulfilled it in six out of 11 games.
That implies odds of about -130. The Patriots are No. 2 against the pass — this one has to be a pass, too.
Guess it's time to fade the public on this one.