The Miami Dolphins (2-6) and Los Angeles (4-4) will close NFL Week 10 tonight on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif. The game will be broadcast on ESPN and can be streamed on YouTube TV.
The Rams are 2-point favorites over the Dolphins (Rams -2) with the game total set at 49.5 at bet365. Los Angeles is -130 on the moneyline to win outright, while Miami is +110 to pull off the upset.
The Rams won 26-20 last week in overtime against the Seahawks, their third straight win. Matthew Stafford threw a game-winning touchdown in overtime to Demarcus Robinson, his second TD catch of the game. The Dolphins lost 30-27 to the Bills last week, their third straight loss. Tua Tagovailoa had 231 passing yards and 2 touchdowns last week, but Miami lost a second-straight one-possession game.
Let's get into my Dolphins vs. Rams prediction and NFL picks for Monday Night Football.
Dolphins vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Total
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2 -110 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
| Rams Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2 -110 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
- Dolphins vs. Rams spread: Rams -2
- Dolphins vs. Rams total: 49.5 points
- Dolphins vs. Rams moneyline: Rams -130 / Dolphins +110
- Dolphins vs. Rams pick: Rams ML (-130)
My Rams vs. Dolphins best bet is on Los Angeles on the moneyline. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Pick Against the Spread
I'm not betting the spread in this game. I like the Rams as a side, but I'm not betting on them against the spread.
Over/Under Prediction
I'm passing on the total for Monday Night Football. I'm projecting the spread at 50.5, but I don't see enough of an edge on either side to make a bet.
Moneyline
I'm taking the Rams on the moneyline. The best line is -145 at BetMGM as kickoff approaches. In situations like this where I like a side that is laying less than three points, I tend to opt for a moneyline pick.
I would play the Rams moneyline up to -160 tonight.
My Pick: Rams ML (-130)
How To Bet Dolphins vs. Rams Picks
The Rams offense is finally close to full strength and should be better than their 12th-place ranking in DVOA.
At wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will play in just his fifth game. Puka Nacua will look to play in his first full game after an ejection cut his first healthy afternoon of the year last week.
Along the offensive line, Jonah Jackson (shoulder) and Steve Avila (knee) will both come off the injured reserve.
Matthew Stafford should time time to throw and receivers open against a Dolphins defense that ranks 22nd in pressure rate (20.4%) and 27th in DVOA against the pass.
From a clean pocket, Stafford has completed 74.5% of his passes for 7.7 yards per attempt with eight touchdowns and one INT compared to a 43.4% completion rate, 5.6 YPA, one touchdown and five interceptions when under pressure.
The Rams defense ranks only four spots better than the Dolphins, but they have a couple of things working in their favor.
First, they've been getting pressure at the second-highest rate in the NFL (29.1%). Per PFF, Tua Tagovailoa's turnover-worthy play rate goes from 0.8% from a clean pocket to 7.7% when pressured.
Secondly, the Rams may not be facing a fully healthy Tyreek Hill, who missed the last two practices of the week with a wrist injury and is listed as questionable.
The Dolphins have been the most overrated team in the market this season in terms of margin against the spread, failing to cover by 8.2 points per game.
Pick: Rams ML -130 (Bet to -160)
How to Watch: Time, Channel, Streaming
| Location: | SoFi Stadium |
| Date: | Monday, Nov. 11 |
| Kickoff Time: | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ESPN / ESPN+, YouTube TV |
Rams vs. Dolphins is scheduled for a 8:15 p.m. ET start time, live from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., on Monday night. The game is broadcasted live by ESPN and is streaming on ESPN+, YouTube TV.
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