The Miami Dolphins (1-1) face the Seattle Seahawks (2-0) to start the late-afternoon NFL Week 3 slate Sunday. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET from Lumen Field in Seattle. The Seahawks are 4.5-point favorites with the game total set at 41.5. Seattle is a -225 favorite on the moneyline, while Miami is +180 to pull off the upset. The game will be broadcast live on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+ or platforms like YouTube TV.
The Dolphins opened the season with a comeback win over the Jaguars but were devastated last week against the Bills. Not only was Miami blown out at home by Buffalo, but Tua Tagovailoa suffered another concussion and will be out for the foreseeable future. Skylar Thompson will step in for the Dolphins. The Seahawks, meanwhile, have taken care of business against the Broncos and Patriots and are 2-0. Seattle hasn't been overwhelmingly good, though, and Geno Smith's offense looks like it will be without Kenneth Walker this week.
Let's get into my Dolphins vs. Seahawks prediction for Sunday afternoon and my NFL picks and predictions for Week 3.
Dolphins vs. Seahawks Picks
SPREAD
I'm taking the points and betting the Dolphins as road 'dogs.
MONEYLINE
While I see value on this spread, I'm passing on betting the moneyline.
TOTAL
I'm in line with this over/under.
Dolphins vs. Seahawks Pick: Dolphins +4.5
Dolphins vs. Seahawks Odds
Dolphins Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | +180 |
Seahawks Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | -225 |
- Dolphins vs. Seahawks Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5
- Dolphins vs. Seahawks Total: Over/Under 41.5
- Dolphins vs. Seahawks Moneyline: Dolphins +180 | Seahawks -225
Dolphins vs. Seahawks: NFL Week 3 Picks
The Dolphins will be desperate to bounce back from a Thursday Night Football loss to the Bills. I didn’t love the game plan from Mike McDaniel and thought Miami would be more prolific in the passing game than it was. Instead, Buffalo exposed the Dolphins early.
I expect McDaniel and the Dolphins to be better here. Obviously, there’s no Tua Tagovailoa, but an extended week and more rest should benefit Miami as it makes a quarterback change.
Skylar Thompson does at least have some experience as an NFL starter. He didn’t win the game, but he performed admirably in a playoff game two seasons ago in Buffalo. The atmosphere in Seattle shouldn’t overwhelm him. I don’t see as big of a dropoff from Tagovailoa to him as the market does.
Miami just lost its quarterback and Seattle is coming off of an overtime win across the country as a favorite. The Seahawks are not in an envious spot coming into this game, although they’ll be happy to not face Tagovailoa.
Seattle has faced Bo Nix in his first career start and then Jacoby Brissett. While Thompson isn’t necessarily an upgrade over either of those quarterbacks, the playmakers around him are better than the Broncos or Patriots have. Miami has speed and talent that can put the offense in positions to succeed even without Tagovailoa.
Also, running back Kenneth Walker III seems unlikely to play because of an oblique injury, which will hinder the Seahawks’ ground game.
Best Bet for Dolphins vs. Seahawks
The first game for a backup quarterback is the one you’d want to bet on him in theory. Miami will be up for this game and eager to bounce back. I also think defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver will dial some things up to put Geno Smith under pressure.
I’m taking the points and betting on the Dolphins.
Pick: Dolphins +4.5
Betting Trends
- 59% of bets and 57% of the money are on the Seahawks to cover the spread.
- 63% of bets and 59% of the money are on the over.
- 75% of bets and 28% of the money on the moneyline are on the Seahawks.
How to Watch Dolphins vs. Seahawks
Location: | Lumen Field in Seattle |
Date: | Sunday, Sept. 22 |
Kickoff Time: | 4:05 p.m. ET |
TV / Streaming: | CBS/Paramount+ |
Miami vs. Seattle is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET live from Lumen Field in Seattle. The game will be broadcast live on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+ and platforms like YouTube TV.
Dolphins-Seahawks Weather
For more on NFL weather for Week 3, click here.