Mike Vrabel Fired: Titans Coach Finishes as 3rd-Most Profitable Coach as Underdog

Mike Vrabel Fired: Titans Coach Finishes as 3rd-Most Profitable Coach as Underdog article feature image
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Mike Vrabel has been fired by the Tennessee Titans and finishes his tenure as one of the most profitable coaches as an underdog of all-time.

During the Vrabel era, if you had bet $100 on the Titans moneyline every time he had been an underdog, you would be up over $2,400. Over the last 20 years, that's only behind Tom Cable ($2,875), who coached the Raiders from 2008 to 2010, and Mike Tomlin ($2,750).

This season alone, the Vrabel-led Titans would have netted you $217 as a $100 per unit bettor, buoyed by a +607 win over the Dolphins — in which the Titans trailed by 14 late in the fourth quarter — and the season finale over the Jaguars, in which Tennessee eliminated Jacksonville from playoff contention as home underdogs.

Vrabel has been profitable against the spread (ATS) as an underdog, too. Before 2023, Vrabel never had a losing record ATS and a $100 per game bettor would have netted about $613 by betting on the Titans spread for every single contest.

This season is where things faltered a little bit. Vrabel put up his worst ATS year as an underdog (6-7-1), losing $100 per unit bettors $157 in total.

Still, overall, Vrabel would have netted said bettors $456 over the years by blindly tailing Tennessee's underdog spread.

In total, $100 per game bettors for both Titans ML and spread (as underdogs) would have netted — without much thought — about $3,050.

Vrabel now enters a somewhat saturated job market, with several premium coaches looking for openings. Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh — coming off of a national championship — Patriots coach Bill Belichick and coveted Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson are in the mix, competing with Vrabel for his next job.

As of Monday afternoon, the available NFL head coaching jobs are with the Chargers, Panthers, Raiders, Falcons and Commanders.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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