While Thursday Night Football's Eagles vs. Texans may not have that much value on its regular lines, its props have a ton to glean.
I wrote earlier on Thursday about the five most valuable prop bets — which includes a Miles Sanders rushing attempt wager — and its no surprise that Sanders leads the charge with tonight's two most popular NFL player props.
Next is Davis Mills, who the public expects to have a poor night against the Eagles' top notch secondary.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Eagles vs. Texans Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Miles Sanders to score the game's first touchdown (+600)
- Miles Sanders to score a touchdown anytime (+105)
- Davis Mills to throw for fewer than 217.5 passing yards (-115)
*Odds and data are according to BetMGM as of Thursday afternoon.
Ironically, Davis Mills' passing yard under isn't the most valuable prop of that kind on the market for Thursday night.
Our premier predictive analytics guru Sean Koerner likes Jalen Hurts' passing yard under at 232.5, even though the Eagles are expected to walk all over the Texans.
Koerner thinks the Eagles could run all over the Texans' last ranked rushing defense and negate the need to throw the ball much in the second half.
"This prop might not be for the faint of heart," Koerner wrote. "Hurts has been lights out this season, and he should have his way with the Texans defense in the first half. However, he’s only averaging 73 passing yards in the second half, which is the second fewest of 36 qualified quarterbacks. That’s mainly because the Eagles typically have a big lead at halftime, which should be the case in this one."
He added that it's all about surviving the first half for that particular prop.
