The Minnesota Vikings (8-2) and Chicago Bears (4-6) will face off in NFL Week 12 at 1 p.m. ET from Soldier Field in Chicago. The game will be broadcast on FOX and can be streamed on YouTube TV.
The Vikings are favored by 3.5 points over the Bears (Vikings -3.5) with the game total set at over/under 39 points scored. The Vikings are -185 favorites to win outright, while the Bears are +155 to pull off the upset.
The Vikings, who won 23-13 over the Titans last week on the road, have allowed 11 points per game during their 3-game winning streak. The Bears, meanwhile, lost their 4th straight game last week, 20-19 to the Packers, after a last-second field-goal attempt was blocked.
Let's get into my Vikings vs. Bears predictions and NFL picks.
Vikings vs. Bears Prediction
Spread
I'm going to bet Minnesota against a spread, specifically the first-quarter spread.
Caleb Williams is in for a long day against the best defense in the NFL, and I expect that'll be the case for every snap. The Vikings are also first-quarter juggernauts, so I'll be betting them to have a lead after the first quarter.
Moneyline
I'm not betting either team's moneyline. As I lay out in detail below, I'd rather lay the one-half point with Minnesota in the first quarter.
Over/Under
I have no pick on this game's total.
My Pick: Vikings 1Q -0.5 (+110)
Vikings vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Vikings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 +100 | 39 -110o / -110u | -185 |
| Bears Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -120 | 39 -110o / -110u | +155 |
- Vikings vs. Bears spread: Vikings -3.5 (-105)
- Vikings vs. Bears over/under: 39 (-110o / -110u)
- Vikings vs. Bears moneyline: Vikings -185, Bears +155
- Vikings vs. Bears best bet: Vikings 1Q -0.5 (+110)
MyVikings vs. Bears pick is on Minnesota to get ahead early. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Vikings vs. Bears NFL Week 12 Preview
As a Vikings fan, this game used to be a nightmare every year. It seemed like nothing good ever happened for Minnesota at Soldier Field.
This year seems a little different, though.
The Vikings entered Week 12 with the No. 1 defense, according to DVOA, against both the run and the pass. Defensive coordinator Brian Flores has had his unit feasting on opposing quarterbacks this season.
I’m expecting the Vikings will do the same to Caleb Williams.
Williams’ biggest weakness this season has been holding the ball too long. He has taken far too many sacks, although it’s not like his protection has been great either.
The Bears defense ranks 15th, according to DVOA, but it’s a bottom-10 unit in the first half and a top-10 unit in the second half. The Vikings offense is also No. 2 in DVOA in the first quarter, which speaks to head coach Kevin O’Connell’s early scripted plays.
This season, the Bears have been held scoreless in the first quarter seven times with only one touchdown scored. In 10 games, Chicago has scored 13 first-quarter points.
Chicago has been outscored 42-13 in the first quarter, while Minnesota has outscored opponents 82-20 and is 8-1-1 straight-up in the first quarter.
There’s a big difference in the potential ways to play this, too. I’d rather lay the one-half point instead of the -125 moneyline.
You’re sacrificing 55 cents in case of a tie. I’d even consider sprinkling Vikings 1Q -6.5 (+350). Minnesota has hit that in five of its 10 games this season.
My Pick: Vikings 1Q -0.5 (+110)
Bears vs Vikings Betting Trends
NFL Weather
