Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction: Dolphins vs. Saints Spread Still Showing Model Value

PJ Walsh

Updated:

Dec 27, 2021, 02:26 PM EST

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Credit:

Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle

The point spread for Monday Night Football between the Dolphins and Saints still has value according to our NFL models, which are player-level and account for Ian Book taking over at quarterback for New Orleans.
The line has swung almost a full touchdown since opening, which has created value on one side.
Action PRO members can get full access to our NFL model projections for MNF and every game.

MNF Odds

Dolphins Odds	-3
Saints Odds	+3
Over/Under	37
Date	Monday, Dec. 27
Time	8:15 p.m. ET
TV	ESPN

*Odds last updated Monday at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Monday night's Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints matchup is unfortunately another game that will be significantly impacted by COVID-19.

New Orleans will be without a handful of key players tonight, including starting quarterback Taysom Hill and backup signal-caller Trevor Siemian, which has had a significant effect on Dolphins vs. Saints odds.

Since opening, the Monday Night Football spread has swung from Saints -3 to Dolphins -3, with the over/under plummeting from 40.5 to 37.

With so much player news and odds movement, what exactly is the smartest way for bettors to approach Dolphins vs. Saints on MNF?

Is the value now with Miami at essentially full strength? Or is New Orleans now undervalued at +3?

The Action Network's NFL PRO Projections have a very clear answer.