Monday Night Football features two teams looking to bounce back from difficult losses. The Packers were rocked by the Lions and the Raiders struggled to do much of anything against the Chargers.
As of this writing, Aaron Jones and Davante Adams are marked as questionable. The major issue with their status is the limited number of props available to use in our parlay.
Editor's Note: Davante Adams is reportedly playing Monday Night Football.
We will build a Packers vs. Raiders same game parlay with the limited selection, but here are my thoughts on the various scenarios that could play out.
- If Adams is out, the majority of the target share should fall to Jakobi Meyers. Josh McDaniels trusts no one else. Grab Meyers' receptions or yardage over.
- If Jones is out, the Packers will once again struggle on the ground like they did against the Lions. This will mean heavy work for their short-yardage receiver, Romeo Doubs. Work him into your parlay.
- If Adams is in, I am avoiding Raiders props. The opportunities are hard to forecast and there will be little value to the alternate lines that are likely to hit.
- If Jones is in, I am grabbing a rushing prop on him. I think Green Bay will win this game, and we saw the struggles of the Packers' offense without Jones last week. If they are winning, something must be working, and if Jones is on the field it is likely because of him.
Now on to the Monday Night Football same game parlay that I've crafted with limited options.
Packers vs. Raiders Monday Night Football Parlay (+519; FanDuel)
- Packers ML (+120)
- Under 50.5 (-210)
- Romeo Doubs 50+ Receiving Yards (-104)
Packers ML (+120)
The last two weeks, the Raiders have turned two-score blowout losses into one-score “deceptively” close games. The games against the Steelers and the Chargers both ended with Las Vegas possessing the ball and an opportunity to control the outcome of the game. And both games ended woefully.
An optimist fighting back would say that is impressive given the hole they dug for themselves. However, shooting themselves in the foot seems to be a feature of the Josh McDaniels coaching bug. The Raiders continuously have chaos around them and that impacts you the most in close games.
With a spread as tight as this one, I am going to trust Green Bay to have the better structure and consistency to make the few plays that turn the game.
I wish there were more to say other than fade the Raiders in a close game. However, that is the key driver of this pick.
Under 50.5 (-210)
All four Raiders games have stayed under this mark, and two of the Packers' games have fallen below this threshold. The two games that went over for the Packers were because of huge defensive plays.
Green Bay ranks 27th in yards per game and Las Vegas ranks 26th. Both of these teams struggle to move the ball and have no problem looking to establish ineffective run games. Green Bay ranks 29th in yards per carry and Las Vegas is 31st.
Both teams have speed and playmakers who can create chunk plays. However, both teams have also shown that those are sprinkles on their sundae, not the ice cream.
Green Bay and Las Vegas will have no problem playing conservatively as long as the other doesn’t jump out to a big lead. I expect that to be the case, leading to the game staying under this number.
Romeo Doubs 50+ Receiving Yards (-104)
I have detailed above my various props of interest depending on who is on the field. For now, I am picking the best from what is available.
Doubs has been the reliable high-volume receiver that first-year starter Jordan Love can lean on. There is a fear Doubs’ production will dip as Christian Watson gets closer to 100%, but that does not scare me. Watson is more of a low-volume deep threat than a short-range technician. So, co-existing can be beneficial for these two.
Doubs has hit this mark in each of the last two games, and he has seen a huge jump in targets in that time. With Doubs establishing himself and building a connection with Love, I expect the scheme to continue leaning his way.
The targets may only lead to a few yards at a time, but it will add up and allow Doubs to cover.
Packers vs Raiders Same Game Parlay (+485)
That is all for this parlay as we do not have more options to choose from. I will be adding another leg to get to my typical desired target odds depending on who is playing.
However, this should be a good start if you are looking for something with a high success rate.
- Packers ML (+114)
- Under 50.5 (-225)
- Romeo Doubs 50+ Receiving Yards (-104)
