Saints vs Texans Odds
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2 -110 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Texans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2 -110 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
We start the main slate of NFL Week 6 with a Saints vs. Texans pick.
Out of all of the rookie quarterbacks, C.J. Stroud has been the most impressive. He's led his team to a 2-3 record, a second-place spot in the AFC South, and he's yet to throw an interception. I'm not sure many saw this Texans team getting off to this start.
The Saints come into this game within an earshot of first place in the NFC South. Derek Carr hasn’t exactly been impactful for New Orleans, but the Fresno State product has taken care of the ball and has averaged over five yards per pass attempt in all but one of his games.
Here’s everything you need to know about Saints vs. Texans odds and picks for Week 6, including the spread, total and our expert prediction.
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Saints vs. Texans
Matchup Analysis
Both the Saints’ and Texans’ rush offenses are rather stagnant.
The Saints average 3.4 rush yards per attempt while the Texans average 3.0. These numbers put both of these teams in the bottom five of the NFL. In fact, the Texans are tied with the Buccaneers for the least amount of rush yards per attempt.
Both offensive units struggle with committing penalties, but the Saints top the Texans, committing 323 offensive penalty yards thus far, which is the second most in the league. It is difficult to put together an offensive drive when you are committing penalties at such a high rate.
Bet New Orleans vs. Houston at FanDuel
Both teams struggle converting in the red zone. The Saints and the Texans score a touchdown on less than 45% of their red-zone trips. The Texans have a slight edge when it comes to converting on third downs, as they convert 45.5% of the time compared to 37.3% for the Saints.
On paper, the Saints and Texans have similar defenses. Neither blitz frequently but apply decent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Their rush defenses are average, and their pass defenses are nothing to fawn over.
The Texans allow scores on 34% of their opponents' drives, while the Saints allow a score on 28.3%. These are great numbers that put them in the top 10 in the NFL for that stat.
There is a slight difference in the offenses they have played though. The Texans have played the Colts, Ravens, Jaguars and Falcons while the Saints have played the Titans, Panthers, Packers, Buccaneers and Patriots.
It seems that the Saints have played worse offenses to date, and while Houston and New Orleans’ defensive numbers may look the same, the added context changes the story that the numbers are telling.
Saints vs. Texans
Betting Picks & Predictions
I am going to back the more explosive offense in this game.
C.J. Stroud has looked like the best rookie quarterback this year, and the Texans' offensive numbers are impressive considering that they are just starting a rebuild.
Given that Houston has better numbers than a team with a veteran quarterback and explosive receivers like Chris Olave and Michael Thomas, I expect the Texans to keep this one close.
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