The Giants (2-5) and Steelers (5-2) will close NFL Week 8 tonight on NFL Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on ESPN. The game can be streamed live on YouTube TV and other streaming platforms.
The Steelers are consensus 6-point favorites over the Giants (Steelers -6) with the over/under currently at 36.5 points scored. Pittsburgh is -275 on the moneyline to win outright, while New York is +225 to pull off the upset.
The Steelers won 37-15 over the Jets last week in Russell Wilson's team debut, and he thrived with 264 passing yards and 2 touchdowns. New York lost in a blowout, 28-3, to the Eagles. In their last two games, the Giants have scored just 10 points.
Let's get into my Giants vs. Steelers predictions and my NFL picks for Giants vs. Steelers tonight.
Giants vs. Steelers Expert Picks
Spread
As long as I'm getting at least six points with the Giants, I'm betting them. There are a few trends that I really like indicating this is a great time to bet New York and fade Steelers coach Mike Tomlin.
Moneyline
I'm not betting the Giants moneyline in this game and am happy to take the six points.
Over/Under
I am also passing on the total.
My pick: Giants +6
Giants vs. Steelers Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6 -108 | 36.5 -108o / -112u | +220 |
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6 -112 | 36.5 -108o / -112u | -270 |
- Giants vs. Steelers spread: Steelers -6
- Giants vs. Steelers total: 36.5 points scored
- Giants vs. Steelers moneyline: Steelers -275, Giants +225
- Giants vs. Steelers prediction: Giants +6
My Steelers vs. Giants prediction is backing New York against the spread. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
- 82% of bets and 82% of the money are on the Steelers to cover the spread.
- 86% of bets and 72% of the money on the game total is on the over.
- 93% of bets and 99% of the money on the moneyline are on the Steelers to win outright.
Giants vs. Steelers Monday Night Football Preview
I'm still not sold on the move to Russell Wilson at quarterback being a net positive. He hit a bunch of deep shots against a shorthanded Jets secondary last week, but I'm not sure that's a sustainable model moving forward, especially this week against a Giants defense that does an adequate job of keeping everything in front of them (ranking 12th in Explosive Pass Defense). Wilson basically can't throw over the middle of the field anymore, and I think the Steelers will really miss Justin Fields' superior ability to create with his legs as the season progresses.
Regarding this specific matchup, the Giants have struggled against the run, but the Steelers haven't been particularly efficient in that regard. More importantly, Pittsburgh's offensive line has been ravaged by injury, which isn't ideal against a ferocious Giants defensive line. If rookie center Zach Frazier, who has been excellent so far this season, can't suit up on Monday night after not practicing Friday, that could prove fatal against one of the league's best interior linemen in Dexter Lawrence. Pressure up the middle could completely neuter Russ and this Steelers offense.
On the other side of the ball, not having Andrew Thomas will once again be a major concern for the Giants, but they've at least had one game under their belt without him. I trust Brian Daboll to make some key adjustments after last week's disaster ahead of a matchup against one of the league's best pass rushes.
I don't have much confidence in this Giants offense, but this is just too many points to pass up with points expected to come at a premium and I project the spread closer to 4-4.5. You want to fade this Steelers team when they need to win by a noteworthy margin, which is similar to other Tomlin teams in recent seasons. This just sets up as a great buy-low, sell-high spot on the Giants, who seem to perform at their best on the road as an underdog under Daniel Jones.
Here are a few trends that back up the Tomlin fade spot and why it might be a good time to buy low on the Giants as a road 'dog:
- Mike Tomlin as a favorite of more than a field goal: 57-73-1 ATS (43.8%), including 37-49-1 (43%) against opponents that don't have a winning record.
- Daniel Jones is 18-9 ATS (66.7%) as a road underdog, including 16-6 (72.7%) when catching over a field goal, covering by 2.5 points per game.
- The Giants lost 28-3 last week against the Eagles. Since 2005, underdogs that scored fewer than 10 points the week prior have gone 346-275-15 ATS (55.7%) and 125-87-8 (59%) after scoring 3 or fewer, including 76-52-4 (59.4%) following a loss of more than three touchdowns.
Tomlin is generally a cash cow in hype spots vs. good teams, but his teams can come out a bit flat against inferior opponents. This is also a Steelers offense that I'm not running to the window to back as a sizable favorite, especially in a game with a total of 36.5.
Give me the Giants on the road to keep this close.
Pick: Giants +6
Monday Night Football Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How to Watch
| Location: | Acrisure Stadium |
| Date: | Monday, Oct. 28 |
| Kickoff Time: | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ESPN / ESPN+ |
Steelers vs. Giants is scheduled for a, 8:15 p.m. ET start time, live from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh tonight. The game will be broadcast live by ESPN and is streaming on ESPN+.
