The New York Jets (2-2) and Minnesota Vikings (4-0) will kick off the Sunday slate of NFL Week 5. Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on NFL Network, and the game can be streamed on YouTube TV and other streaming platforms.
The Vikings are consensus 2.5-point favorites over the Jets (Vikings -2.5) after the spread opened at Jets -4 before the season. The over/under is 40.5 after opening at 44. The Vikings are -150 favorites to win outright, with the Jets +125 to pull off the upset.
The Jets lost 10-9 to the Broncos last week, only gaining 248 yards of offense. Aaron Rodgers wasn't able to build on a strong Week 3 performance and has 5 touchdowns and 1 interception in 4 games. The Vikings stayed undefeated last week with a 31-29 win over the Packers. Sam Darnold has been excellent this season with 11 touchdowns and 932 passing yards through the first 4 games of the season.
Let's get into my Jets vs. Vikings prediction and my NFL picks and predictions for London.
Jets vs. Vikings Odds, Picks, Prediction
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 40.5 -110 / -110 | +125 |
| Vikings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 40.5 -110 / -110 | -150 |
- Jets vs. Vikings spread: Vikings -2.5
- Jets vs. Vikings over/under: Over/Under 40.5
- Jets vs. Vikings moneyline: Vikings -150, Jets +125
- Jets vs. Vikings pick: Jets +2.5
My Vikings vs. Jets best bet is on New York. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Spread
Our PRO systems indicate this is the time to back the Jets, so we're taking the points.
Moneyline
We're not betting either moneyline for this game.
Over/Under
Our projections are in line with the total for this game.
My Pick: Jets +2.5
New York Jets vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL London Preview
Some of these situational spots lately are just tailor-made for PRO Systems. One in particular has been red-hot this season, and it plays off fading the public.
The first few weeks of the season are wonky because public reactions are very knee-jerky. There is a huge rush to bet teams who just covered and fade the ones that can’t, which makes sense. In this case, the Jets are coming off of a brutal performance that saw them score only nine points against the Broncos last week.
So, in Week 5, Jets +2.5 fits a PRO System labeled “Bet Against the Public After Bad Game."
Here’s how it works.
We have found that teams that scored less than 10 points in their previous game are rarely attractive. So, we used our trackers to find an edge. Teams that scored single-digit points in their last game and receive fewer than 30% of the total of public tickets in our trackers wind up covering the spread 61% of the time in the next game.
Be careful of jumping ship on the Jets, as they fit this spot (18% of tickets).
And I’ll give you one more reason to back the Jets — or, should I say, fade the Vikings?
A separate PRO System labeled “Fade Covering Teams” suggests this strategy in Week 5 and beyond. When teams covering the spread by more than five points per game play an opponent between a 0-60% win percentage, the team covering the spread by more than five points per game only covers the number 39% of the time.
In this case, that’s the Vikings, who are 4-0 against the spread, covering margins by an average of more than 14 points per game entering Week 5. They’re a regression candidate according to Fade Covering Teams, giving the Jets two 61% trends favoring them to cover in London.
Pick: Jets +2.5
Betting Trends
- 19% of bets but 78% of the money are on the Jets to cover the spread.
- 86% of bets and 89% of the money are on the over.
- 70% of bets and 83% of the money on the moneyline are on the Vikings.
How to Watch: Time, Channel, Streaming
| Location: | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Date: | Sunday, Oct. 6 |
| Kickoff Time: | 9:30 a.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | NFL Network / YouTube TV |
Vikings vs. Jets is scheduled for a 9:30 a.m. ET start time, live from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on Sunday, Oct. 6. The game is broadcasted live by NFL Network and is streaming on YouTube TV.
NFL Weather
