Happy NFL draft prop season everybody! There's plenty to be excited about, and plenty to bet on, but there's one draft prop that stands head and shoulders above the rest: Rich Eisen's 40-yard dash.
#RunRichRun is a fantastic cause that supports St. Jude's Children's Research Hospital. Eisen addressed his training and current state of mind during his show Wednesday.
He's been training, he's lean, he's mean and @richeisen is ready to set a new personal record. A #RunRichRun update a little more than a week out:https://t.co/MCXw4ZvIfm to donate! @StJudepic.twitter.com/DHZiJTyyJB
— Rich Eisen Show (@RichEisenShow) February 20, 2019
The biggest takeaways from Eisen's spiel …
- Rich ran six ([) 40-yard dashes on Tuesday.
- He's been working on the get out. "It's the get out, can't pop up too soon."
- Eisen had a picture of his fastest time (5.94 seconds) readily available.
- Eisen is feeling good — and motivated: "Antonio Brown stole Mr. Big Chest from me."
The current over/under for Eisen's 40-yard dash at the combine is six seconds. Last year we were able to correctly predict that Eisen would run faster than 6.05 seconds, but this year will be a bit more challenging with an opening line of six seconds.
Eisen's original 40-yard dash times were horrendous; he ran between 6.34-and-6.77 seconds from 2005-09. He seemingly blew out his hamstring during the 2009 run according to a 2016 interview.
It's been an exciting run over the past nine years when Eisen has run without dress shoes, but under six seconds has still been a tough mark to get past.
- 2010: 6.21 seconds
- 2011: 6.18
- 2012: 6.03
- 2013: 6.03
- 2014: 5.98
- 2015: 6.1
- 2016: 5.94
- 2017: 6.02
- 2018: 5.97
Overall, Eisen has averaged 6.05 seconds since he started wearing appropriate footwear. He's broken the six-point barrier on three occasions in 2014, 2016 and 2018.
Still, the NFL analyst has aged like fine wine, running the 40-yard dash in 6.03 seconds or faster in six of the past seven years. Eisen has averaged a 6.002 40-second dash during his last five runs.
Six seconds is a damn good line. Ultimately, Eisen's age and injury history raise too many questions for me to put my money on a 49-year old with a history of getting injured at this event.
I'll take Eisen to run the 40-yard dash in more than six seconds, but this probably isn't the best bet to put your mortgage behind.
