Betting on quarterback ineptitude is one of my NFL guilty pleasures. I especially like back-breaking interceptions that completely flip the momentum of the game.
That’s why I’m diving headfirst into the quarterback interception market to identify key spots each week to cash in on quarterback miscues.
It’s worth noting that I track all interception props from each quarterback and it’s been a huge windfall for bettors who choose to only bet on them when they are plus-money (+100 or higher). In 2023, had you bet on every quarterback that was plus-money to throw an interception, you'd be 62-55 for +20.1 units thus far.
This comes off last season’s momentum when the same trend went 81-75 for +24.5 units. We can thank Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott for a lot of those winnings — he finished 2022 at +8.6 units for INT props (league leader) and he threw an interception in five of six games when listed at plus-money.
NFL Interception Props
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1 p.m. | |
| 4:25 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
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Cardinals vs. Steelers
Kenny Pickett
To Throw INT (+130)
While I’m not ready to say he’s a horrible quarterback, the numbers aren’t kind to Steelers QB Kenny Pickett.
Pickett has somehow regressed in Year 2 with a lower completion percentage, fewer TDs per game and about the same amount of passing yards. Where he has improved is not turning the football over, having thrown an INT in only three of 11 games, which is why we’re getting this plus number.
That being said, the Cardinals are a sneaky team to bet against for this prop. They’ve forced an INT in seven of 12 games this season and each was plus-money except for Matthew Stafford in Week 12.
Another factor I like in our favor is it’s expected to be rainy weather in Pittsburgh on Sunday with some wind. If the Cardinals are able to get some sacks and generate some pressure, Pickett will live up to his last name. I would play this down to +115.
Pick: Kenny Pickett To Throw INT (+130)
Bet Week 13 at bet365 with our bet365 bonus code.
49ers vs. Eagles
Jalen Hurts
To Throw INT (-115)
These odds might be tough to bet for some but with so few interception options at plus-money in Week 13 (six), this one stood out. Hurts is the second-most profitable QB in this market this season, so at -115 against one of the NFL's best defenses, I will bet him.
Hurts has thrown a pick in seven of 11 games this season and had you bet one unit per game on him to turn it over, you’d be up +5.3. A lot of that profit was because Hurts was plus-money in six of those seven games.
Opposing quarterback INT odds when facing the Niners are usually in the -125 to -150 range. At -115 against a team that can create pressure consistently throughout a game, I’m willing to take a chance that Hurts turns it over in this high-profile matchup.
