On Wednesday morning, the NFL released the five international games that will take place during the 2023-24 season.
There are some interesting matchups in the batch of contests. The Falcons will take on the Jaguars in London, and the Jaguars will also square off with the Bills a week later. Rounding out the London slate is a Ravens vs Titans battle.
In Frankfurt, the Dolphins will square off with the Chiefs and the Colts will play the Patriots.
The leader of Action's Predictive Analytics team, Sean Koerner, has created power ratings and projected spreads and totals for each of the contests. Read on to see how we believe these lines should look, and how the opening odds actually look.
Falcons vs Jaguars Odds
In the opening international contest, the Jaguars are favored by just over a field goal against the Falcons. The last time that these two teams met was in 2021, when the Falcons took a 21-14 win in Jacksonville.
This game will be played on October 1 at Wembley Stadium in London.
In terms of our projections, we would have expected the Jaguars to be marginally shorter favorites.
Jaguars vs Bills Odds
In terms of international games, this is just about as competitive as it will get between two quality teams. Both the Bills and Jaguars were in the Divisional Round of the playoffs last year, and both project similarly, if not better, coming into this year.
When these teams last met in 2021, the Jaguars earned a shocking 9-6 upset win over the Bills. But a Jags win here would not be viewed in the same way.
This game will be played on October 8 in Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Our projected odds are aligned with the opening odds — exactly on the number.
Ravens vs Titans Odds
The Ravens and the Titans have a bit of a recent rivalry brewing, though they didn't meet during the 2022 season.
This game will take place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on October 15.
When looking at the projected odds versus the spread, the Ravens are slightly more favored than the projected number indicates.
Dolphins vs Chiefs Odds
Much like the Jaguars vs. Bills game, this one is projected to be between two teams with high aspirations for the season.
Koerner's projected spread of -4.5 is largely aligned with the actual number of -5.5, and a high scoring game is expected with a 50-point total.
This one will be played at Frankfurt Stadium on November 5.
Colts vs Patriots Odds
Rounding out the international games is a true rivalry, at least prior to the most recent seasons.
The Colts vs. Patriots matchup also represents the game with the biggest discrepancy in spread to Koerner's projected number. While the opening spread is Patriots -5, we would have expected something much shorter.
This contest will be played at Frankfurt Stadium on November 12.
