Ryan Succop
Under 1.5 FG (+108, Caesars)
With Pittsburgh missing four defensive backs, Tom Brady should have a field day against them. As a result, expect the Bucs to convert more drives into touchdowns instead of field goals.
Succop has made two or fewer field goals in 4-of-5 games, so if even one of those is turned into a touchdown the under should hit. The Steelers have also allowed exactly one field goal in 4-of-5 games.
I project Succop to go under 53.7 percent of the time, meaning anything plus money is nice value.
Mason Crosby
Under 7.5 Kicking Points (+110, DraftKings)
Green Bay’s slow pace under head coach Matt LaFleur has translated to only 1.48 field goals attempted per game by Crosby since 2019. This season, Crosby has only six field goal attempts in five games (1.2 per game).Now he faces a Jets defense that has allowed only 6.8 kicking points per game.
On the weather forecast front, 13-14 mph winds that are nearly a direct crosswind won’t help as Crosby struggled from 40-plus yards last year. While he is 3-for-3 from 40-plus yards this year, he has yet to attempt anything longer than 48 yards.
I have Crosby projected for 1.55 field goals made and 2.67 extra points made, with a 56.1% chance of going under this number. That makes getting plus money very nice value.
