Steelers vs. Browns NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football’s Big Betting Model Edge for Week 3

Updated:

Sep 22, 2022, 05:40 PM EDT

Steelers vs. Browns NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football’s Big Betting Model Edge for Week 3 article feature image

Credit:

Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images. Pictured: Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Chase Claypool (left) and tight end Pat Freiermuth

NFL odds show the Cleveland Browns as 4-point favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers and an over/under of 38.5 for Thursday Night Football.
Windy weather conditions will also have a significant effect on Steelers vs. Browns, so what is the smartest pick for Thursday Night Football?
Using the Action Network's NFL betting model picks, we identify a big edge for Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football.

Steelers vs. Browns Odds

Steelers Odds	+4
Browns Odds	-4
Over/Under	38.5
Date	Thursday, Sept. 22
Time	8:15 p.m. ET
Channel	Amazon Prime Video

*Odds as of Thursday morning

The odds are stacking against Steelers vs. Browns being a high-scoring game tonight on Thursday Night Football.

In what was already expected to be a grind offensively, the latest Cleveland weather forecast shows windy conditions at FirstEnergy Stadium tonight, helping to knock down the already low opening total of 41 to between 38 and 38.5.

I'm not breaking any news here by saying that Steelers vs. Browns has the potential to be a slog tonight, but that doesn't matter for bettors if there's the potential for a +EV position on this matchup.

According to the Action Network's NFL betting model, there is a monster edge available right now for Thursday Night Football bettors.

Steelers vs. Browns Pick

As I mentioned above, live NFL odds for Steelers vs. Browns show the over/under settled between 38 and 38.5, while Cleveland sits as a 4-point home favorite.