NFL Pick’Em Picks: Cowboys and Bills Have High Win Probabilities For Straight Up Pools, Plus ATS Picks

NFL Pick’Em Picks: Cowboys and Bills Have High Win Probabilities For Straight Up Pools, Plus ATS Picks article feature image
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Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images. Pictured: Bills WR Gabriel Davis

Thanksgiving wouldn't be complete without football. It also means we can't forget to lock in our NFL pick'em picks before the holiday action kicks off Thursday.

To help make these picks easier, I've ranked our straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) options for Week 12 below. These rankings are based on my power ratings that help power our NFL PRO Projections, which identifies the biggest edges based on six of our experts' consensus power ratings when compared to the odds.

I'll update these rankings before Sunday's games kickoff, so be sure to bookmark this story and check it again that morning. I'll also reveal which spread and over/under edges I'm betting then, which my editor will link within this story, but you can also follow me in the Action app for notifications about any picks I track there.



NFL Pick'Em Picks: Week 12

ConfTeamOppWin Prob%
1Cowboysvs. LV74%
2Patriotsvs. TEN70%
3Bills@ NO69%
4Ravensvs. CLE67%
5Bengalsvs. PIT65%
6Bears@ DET61%
T-7Texansvs. NYJ59%
T-7Chargers@ DEN59%
9Buccaneers@ IND58%
10Eagles@ NYG54%
11PanthersBears54%
T-12Seahawks@ WAS53%
T-12Falcons@ JAX53%
T-1249ersvs. MIN53%
T-15Packersvs. LAR50%
T-15Rams@ GB50%
T-17Jaguarsvs. ATL47%
T-17Vikings@ SF47%
T-17Football Teamvs. SEA47%
20Dolphinsvs. CAR46%
21Giantsvs. PHI46%
22Coltsvs. TB42%
T-23Jets@ HOU41%
T-23Broncosvs. LAC41%
25Lionsvs. CHI39%
26Steelers@ CIN35%
27Browns@ BAL33%
28Saintsvs. BUF31%
29Titans@ NE30%
30Raiders@ DAL26%

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NFL ATS Picks: Week 12

I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Columns E and F.

About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons

Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.

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