To help you make your final NFL pick'em picks for the regular season, I've ranked our straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) options for Week 18. These confidence rankings are based on my power ratings, which are part of our consensus NFL PRO Projections.
The Bills have the highest outright win probability, which makes sense considering they're 16.5-point favorites against the Jets (check real-time NFL odds here). The 49ers, meanwhile, sit atop the ATS rankings with a chance to clinch a playoff berth as 4-point underdogs in Los Angeles for the regular-season finale against the Rams.
Let's dig into the full rankings below.
NFL Pick'Em Picks: Week 18
| Conf | Team | Opp | Win Prob% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bills | vs. NYJ | 91% |
| 2 | Colts | @ JAX | 88% |
| 3 | Chiefs | @ DEN | 83% |
| 4 | Titans | @ HOU | 80% |
| 5 | Buccaneers | vs. CAR | 77% |
| 6 | Football Team | @ NYG | 74% |
| T-7 | Cardinals | vs. SEA | 71% |
| T-7 | Browns | vs. CIN | 71% |
| T-7 | Patriots | @ MIA | 71% |
| 10 | Vikings | vs. CHI | 67% |
| T-11 | Saints | Football Team | 64% |
| T-11 | Cowboys | @ PHI | 64% |
| 13 | Ravens | vs. PIT | 62% |
| 14 | Rams | vs. SF | 61% |
| 15 | Packers | @ DET | 59% |
| 16 | Chargers | @ LV | 58% |
| 17 | Raiders | vs. LAC | 42% |
| 18 | Lions | vs. GB | 41% |
| 19 | 49ers | @ LAR | 39% |
| 20 | Steelers | @ BAL | 38% |
| T-21 | Falcons | vs. NO | 36% |
| T-21 | Eagles | vs. DAL | 36% |
| 23 | Bears | @ MIN | 33% |
| T-24 | Bengals | @ CLE | 29% |
| T-24 | Dolphins | vs. NE | 29% |
| T-24 | Seahawks | @ ARI | 29% |
| 27 | Giants | vs. WAS | 26% |
| 28 | Panthers | @ TB | 23% |
| 29 | Texans | vs. TEN | 20% |
| 30 | Broncos | vs. KC | 17% |
| 31 | Jaguars | vs. IND | 12% |
| 32 | Jets | @ BUF | 9% |
NFL ATS Picks: Week 18
I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.
Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Column F.
