Editor's note: The Broncos-Patriots game has been officially rescheduled for next week.
With my final round of projections complete, I've updated my straight up and against the spread pick 'em rankings for Week 5.
These confidence ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power the model projections in our PRO Report. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds.
Now let's run through the final edition of my Week 5 ratings!
Jump to ATS Ratings
NFL Pick 'Em Rankings
These are for straight-up pick 'em pools.
| Rank | Team | Opponent | Win Prob% |
|---|
| 1 | Ravens | vs. CIN | 86% |
| 2 | Chiefs | vs. LV | 85% |
| 3 | Patriots | vs. DEN | 78% |
| T-4 | Cardinals | @ NYJ | 77% |
| T-4 | Steelers | vs. PHI | 77% |
| T-6 | Rams | @ WAS | 76% |
| T-6 | Seahawks | vs. MIN | 76% |
| T-8 | 49ers | vs. MIA | 75% |
| T-8 | Saints | vs. LAC | 75% |
| 10 | Cowboys | vs. NYG | 0.74 |
| 11 | Bills | @ TEN | 0.7 |
| 12 | Texans | vs. JAX | 0.68 |
| 13 | Buccaneers | @ CHI | 0.63 |
| 14 | Falcons | vs. CAR | 56% |
| 15 | Colts | @ CLE | 51% |
| 16 | Browns | vs. IND | 49% |
| 17 | Panthers | @ ATL | 44% |
| 18 | Bears | vs. TB | 37% |
| 19 | Jaguars | @ HOU | 32% |
| 20 | Titans | vs. BUF | 30% |
| 21 | Giants | @ DAL | 26% |
| T-22 | Dolphins | @ SF | 25% |
| T-22 | Chargers | @ NO | 25% |
| T-24 | Football Team | vs. LAR | 24% |
| T-24 | Vikings | @ SEA | 24% |
| T-26 | Jets | vs. ARI | 23% |
| T-26 | Eagles | @ PIT | 23% |
| 28 | Broncos | @ NE | 22% |
| 29 | Raiders | @ KC | 15% |
| 30 | Bengals | @ BAL | 14% |
Week 5 NFL Pick 'Em Rankings
I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.
Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.
About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons
Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.
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