NFL Week 15 Picks, Predictions
On Sunday night, our betting analysts found two games to target for their early NFL Week 15 picks and predictions. Check out the spreads and over/under they've already bet.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
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Chargers vs. Raiders
These teams combined for a whopping one score on Sunday. Now, Justin Herbert broke a finger on his throwing hand and Josh Jacobs is hurt.
The Raiders have scored 18 or fewer points in all but two games this season. They’ve hit this under five times already this season.
Las Vegas games are averaging 35.5 points this season, but that’s down to 29.6 since interim coach Antonio Pierce took over. Pierce also has the Raiders defense playing well, as that unit ranks 13th in DVOA over its last five games.
Primetime unders, entering Sunday Night Football, have hit at a 61% rate over the last four seasons and 69% this season. Unders of 37 or lower over the last four calendar years have hit at a 76% clip.
Also, Thursday Night Football unders of 40 or lower since 2010 are 19-5 (79%).
By Ricky Henne
Justin Herbert fractured the index finger on his throwing hand in the Chargers' 24-7 loss to the Broncos, and reports are that he might miss the rest of the season.
The Chargers' offense looked absolutely brutal with Easton Stick under center, and now they must turn around on a short week to face the Raiders. Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner says there’s a 5.5-6 point difference going from Herbert to Stick.
Meanwhile, Josh Jacobs left the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings late with a knee injury. We might not have an update on his status until later in the week, but it might be an uphill climb with only three days to heal.
These teams have scored a combined 30 points over the past two weeks and look utterly abysmal. As such, the under is dropping like a rock. It was at 42.5 before the late window started and was down to 34.5 once both games ended. I happily grabbed it at that number as I suspect it will sink as the week rolls on. I would take this down to 31.5.
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Ravens vs. Jaguars
This rose from 40.5 with Trevor Lawrence back, but it was 39.5 before the season. That’s a significant move, passing a few key numbers.
Both teams entered Week 14 ranked in the top six in DVOA. The Ravens are the No. 1 run team, but the Jags’ run defense is third. The Jags’ pass defense is eighth, but the Ravens’ passing attack hasn’t been the same without TE Mark Andrews.
Eight of the Ravens’ first 13 games of the season have seen 44 or fewer points scored and this is another primetime under spot.
Also, the forecast currently has a greater than 50% chance of rain with 15 mph winds. Games with wind speeds faster than 10 mph have gone 126-70-1 (64%) to the under.
This number could tank if that forecast is legit, so grab it now.
