I've found my NFL player prop pick for the Week 13 edition of Monday Night Football with Broncos vs. Browns.
For Broncos vs. Browns, I'm backing Grant Delpit to be very active in the tackles market tonight. Let's get into my MNF prop.
Grant Delpit Player Props
This line is on the move. The over on 7.5 is +125 at ESPN BET, which is a suitable alternative.
Delpit has cleared 6.5 60% of the time this season despite facing one of the most brutal schedules in terms of tackle opportunities for a safety. He has faced four teams that rank in the bottom eight and has only faced one top-10 team (Commanders, ninth).
Tonight, Delpit faces the Broncos, who have provided the second-most tackle opportunities to safeties.
Delpit has cleared this in four straight games, partly due to Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah getting knocked out of the game in Week 8 with a neck injury and landing on the injured reserve.
Bo Nix hasn’t been scrambling as much but has been facing defenses that struggle to pressure the quarterback. The Browns lead the league in pressure rate, which means we should see Nix lean on his legs a bit more, which are plays that Delpit will be in the mix for a tackle.
I’m projecting Delpit closer to 8.3 tackles with around a 70% chance to clear 6.5, so I’m fine with the -135 and would bet it up to -170 or so.
Books will likely move him up to 7.5, and I’m giving him about a 55% chance to clear that. I'd bet the over on 7.5 up to about -110.
