We've got another Monday Night Football doubleheader to close out NFL Week 4 and I've got a prop I like in Titans vs. Dolphins. Let's jump into my favorite Monday Night Football pick, where I'm looking to fade one of Miami's primary offensive weapons.
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Tyler Huntley is starting at quarterback for the Dolphins tonight, taking over for Skylar Thompson as the replacement for injured starter Tua Tagovailoa.
If there's one thing we know about Huntley, it's that he loved his tight ends, with a target rate higher than 38% in his career. He will also run more than Thompson or Tagovailoa did.
This being Huntley's first week with the team as the starting quarterback, we should expect to see more gadget plays mixed it. We could see both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle get some carries, and when Huntley does drop back to pass and targets wide receivers, Hill will be his first look even more than usual.
All of that aside, this isn't a very good matchup for Waddle to begin with. Tennessee allows the 10th fewest targets per game to wide receivers and have the second best DVOA against No. 2 receivers. L'Jarius Sneed and Jarvis Brownlee Jr. have allowed just 11 and 12%, target per route run, respectively.
Pick: Jaylen Waddle Under 3.5 Receptions (-120)
