Our staff of betting experts has you covered with NFL Week 7 player props on Sunday.
They’re feeling optimistic, with three anytime touchdown bets and a slew of overs on receiving yards and rushing yards that include rookies Drake Maye, Malik Nabers and Brock Bowers. There’s also some love for “slot merchant” Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs in the Lions-Vikings NFC North clash.
Find our NFL props for Sunday afternoon below.
NFL Player Props for Week 7
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Lions vs. Vikings
Jahmyr Gibbs
Anytime TD Scorer (+120)
While David Montgomery has been the Detroit running back who has scored a ton of touchdowns this season, Jahmyr Gibbs has still scored in three of the Lions' five games. This is also a great spot for him. The Vikings have a good defense, but the total is sitting over 50 points with a 1.5-point. That means the Lions will likely want to run the ball as much as possible throughout this game.
While Montgomery is Detroit's go-to back when it gets closer to the end zone, that's not as clear-cut a role as you'd expect it to be. Inside the 5-yard line, Montgomery has eight carries this season to five for Gibbs. Inside the 10, it's a 12-7 difference. Inside the 15 and 20, their numbers are close but with Gibbs has more usage inside the 20 and is a player who can break off a massive run or catch.
I have Gibbs at over a 50% chance of scoring, making this a great bet at plus money.
Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer (+120)
Lions vs. Vikings
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
We’ve got a perfect storm for a high-scoring shootout in Minnesota. Jared Goff and th Lions play in a dome, where he covers at an elite rate. Instead of backing Detroit in this one — I am worried about the defense because of Aidan Hutchison’s injury — I’d rather lean into this game being a shootout.
Not only does the Lions offense peak in the dome thanks to Goff’s crazy splits, but the Vikings defense has become a pass funnel. Minnesota has one of the best run defenses in the NFL so in what should be a high-possession, back-and-forth game, I love backing Amon-Ra St. Brown.
I don’t care that this is a high number. This is a perfect buy-low spot on St. Brown, who has gone under this total in his last two games. I trusted Garrett Wilson with an over against this Minnesota defense in London and am happy to do so yet again here with the Sun God.
The Vikings also play a two-high look at a near 75% rate, of which St. Brown has sliced up. His yards per route run against two-high looks is 2.56.
St. Brown already commands the sixth-highest target share in the entire NFL and this is a great matchup in what should be a high-scoring game. I am not worried by the high number since he should see double-digit targets and get plenty of production in this one.
Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Eagles vs. Giants
Malik Nabers
Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Malik Nabers should be back this week, which means we should see another game of 10+ targets.
Nabers has been targeted at one of the highest rates I've ever seen in this offense, getting 15 targets per game over his last three games, in which he's around a massive 45% target share.
He'll return from a two-game absence to take on the Eagles, who have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL this season. Helping Nabers' cause will be that the Giants will likely be trailing in this game as three-point underdogs.
I'm hitting the ladder on Nabers and wouldn't be surprised to see another 120-yard game from him.
Pick: Malik Nabers Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Texans vs. Packers
Christian Watson
Anytime TD Scorer (+270)
Christian Watson has always been a guy with a nose for the end zone, and he's already scored twice this season when Jordan Love is under center for the Packers.
Watson has 16 career touchdowns in just 28 games and is a huge threat in the red zone, with five scores in nine games games last season. There are several mouths to feed in this offense, but the Packers' team total is high, and the odds on Watson are fantastic. Also, wide receiver Dontayvion Wicks' status is up in the air due to a shoulder injury.
I have the true odds just over +200, making this a great bet.
Pick: Christian Watson Anytime TD Scorer (+270)
Raiders vs. Rams
Brock Bowers
Anytime TD Scorer (+225)
By Sam Farley
Brock Bowers might only have one touchdown this season, but he has been a stud for the Raiders and the one shining light on offense in the midst of a depressing start to the season.
The Raiders just traded Davante Adams to the Jets, and Jakobi Meyers is going to miss this game due to injury. That means more volume for Bowers.
Meyers leads the Raiders with five red-zone targets, but Bowers is next with four and faces a Rams team with a weak underbelly against tight ends. Los Angeles has allowed three touchdowns to tight ends (the second most in the NFL) in just five games this season.
At a big price, the stud rookie tight end is worth backing to find the end zone this Sunday.
Pick: Brock Bowers Anytime TD Scorer (+225)
Chiefs vs. 49ers
George Kittle
Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
By Sam Farley
George Kittle's receiving yards prop for the Super Bowl replay against the Chiefs gives us a real must-smash spot.
Kittle has averaged 56.6 receiving yards per game this season and faces a Chiefs defense that has been torn apart by opposing tight ends this season. Kansas City has given up a league-most 81.8 yards per game to the position.
As long as this line stays within reason, I'd recommend taking it. This could be a huge spot for Kittle.
Pick: George Kittle Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Patriots vs. Jaguars
Drake Maye
Over 24.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
During his time at North Carolina, Drake Maye ran for more than 1,200 yards in just over two seasons as the Tar Heels' starter. I know the college game is different than the NFL, but you're clearly a quarterback who can make plays with your feet when you average 42 rushing yards per game.
In his first start last week against the Texans, Maye had five rush attempts for 38 yards. It's worth noting that the Jaguars have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season and have only faced one mobile quarterback (Josh Allen rushed for 44 yards).
The Patriots are 5-point underdogs and could be without Rhamondre Stevenson. We could see a lot of dropbacks for Maye in this one, and the Patriots offensive line may force him out of the pocket and scrambling more than usual.
Pick: Drake Maye Over 24.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
