NFL Picks, Best Bets Week 12: Expert Player Prop Predictions

NFL Picks, Best Bets Week 12: Expert Player Prop Predictions article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured from left to right: Jauan Jennings, C.J. Stroud and Rome Odunze.

We have you covered with seven NFL player prop picks for Week 12 for Sunday afternoon's slate of games.

Our staff has props for Sunday's big games, starting with Vikings vs. Bears and Lions vs. Colts, among others, at 1 p.m. ET. Then we have a couple of props for the nationally televised game at 4:25 p.m.: 49ers vs. Packers.

We also have bets for Chiefs vs. Panthers, Titans vs. Texans and Cowboys vs. Commanders.

Let's dig into our NFL props for this week's Sunday slate.


NFL Picks: Player Props


Vikings vs. Bears

Minnesota Vikings Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. ET
Chicago Bears Logo
Header First Logo

Rome Odunze Anytime TD Scorer (+375)

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By Grant Neiffer

The total for this game is pretty low, but we are getting great odds on Rome Odunze.

He has had a solid season considering the problems that the Bears offense has had, but that unit ran much more efficiently last week without former offensive coordinator Shane Waldron. The focus was on getting the ball out of Caleb Williams' hands quickly, which is likely to be an emphasis again on Sunday.

The Vikings have one of the best pass defenses in the league, but they're even better against the run, allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game on the season.

Minnesota has forced opposing teams to pass at the highest rate in the league and even with one of the best pass defenses, it has allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game because of their pass-funnel defense.

While it's not the most-likely scenario that Odunze scores, he has a far better chance than these odds imply.

Pick: Rome Odunze Anytime TD Scorer (+375) 

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Rome Odunze Anytime TD Scorer (+375)

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By Sam Farley

Caleb Williams has had a disappointing rookie season, but one of the few positives is that he's generally looked after the football. Yes, he's been picked off five times, but that happened across just three of his 10 games and it hasn't happened in the past four.

That said, Williams has also failed to throw a touchdown pass in that time. Pressure is building on the first overall pick and he's going to want to show the world what he can do, which may lead to mistakes.

Williams can't afford to make mistakes against the Vikings because they'll punish you. Through 10 games, Minnesota leads the NFL with a staggering 16 interceptions, averaging 1.6 per game, which spells trouble for Williams.

Pick: Caleb Williams Over 0.5 Interceptions (-115)



Chiefs vs. Panthers

Kansas City Chiefs Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. ET
Carolina Panthers Logo
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Chuba Hubbard Under 53.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

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By Charlie Wright

Chuba Hubbard has been the lone bright spot for Carolina this season, but this is a nightmarish setup. The Panthers are double-digit underdogs against a Chiefs defense that has erased the opposition's run game this season.

The Chiefs have been awesome against running backs basically any way you slice it. They are first in yards per carry and yards allowed per game, have seen the fewest carries per game and rank first in success rate against zone concepts, which Carolina uses at the fifth-highest rate.

Only two running backs have topped 50 yards against Kansas City this season — Jordan Mason had 14 carries for 58 yards in Week 7, and Audric Estime had 14 carries for 53 yards in Week 10. Their teammates combined for two and three carries with Mason and Estime dominating touches.

Hubbard is used to that type of backfield dominance, ranking fifth in the league in rush-attempt share. The issue is his workload might be challenged this week with rookie Jonathan Brooks finally set to make his debut. Carolina doesn't have much left to play for outside of evaluating young players like Brooks.

Hubbard should still maintain his starting role, but Brooks will be much stronger competition for touches than Miles Sanders and Raheem Blackshear. We could see much more of a workload split this week.

Pick: Chuba Hubbard Under 53.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 



Titans vs. Texans

Tennessee Titans Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. ET
Houston Texans Logo
Header First Logo

C.J. Stroud Over 8.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

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By Kyle Murray

C.J. Stroud is clearly not a QB who is always looking to use his legs, but he does it quite efficiently in scramble situations.

This Titans team has a pretty stout secondary, which could create more of those scramble chances for Stroud. The Texans' second-year quarterback is averaging over 15 rushing yards per game this season.

This is also a good matchup since the Titans have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 8.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 



Lions vs. Colts

Detroit Lions Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. ET
Indianapolis Colts Logo
Header First Logo

Joshua Downs Anytime TD Scorer (+300)

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By Grant Neiffer

I like Jonathan Taylor to score a TD, but I love these odds on Joshua Downs, who has been the go-to guy in this passing offense.

Downs is always a threat to score from anywhere on the field with Anthony Richardson's massive arm bringing big-play potential to the table, especially here against a Lions team that has run man coverage at a high rate and has trouble getting pressure on the QB.

Downs has been targeted in the red zone at the highest clip of any receiver in this offense this season and already has four touchdowns.

The Colts are likely to be playing from behind in this game, which should mean more pass attempts for Richardson and volume for Downs.

Pick: Joshua Downs Anytime TD Scorer (+300)

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Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer (-110)

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By Sam Farley

When it comes to consistency you can't beat Amon-Ra St Brown, who has nine touchdowns in 10 games for the Lions this season. Crucially for this bet, he has scored in eight straight games.

St. Brown's 14 red-zone targets are nine more than the next highest WR on the team, Jameson Williams. He'll get volume in the most dangerous position on the field and more often than not ends up scoring.

Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer (-110)



Cowboys vs. Commanders

Dallas Cowboys Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. ET
Washington Commanders Logo
Header First Logo

Austin Ekeler Under 5.5 Rush Attempts (-110)

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By Kyle Murray

Austin Ekeler has been a big part of this Washington offense this season but more as a pass-catcher.

In games with Brian Robinson active, Ekeler is averaging just 4.4 rush attempts per game.

With Jayden Daniels getting healthier, he is a candidate for 10+ rush attempts alongside Robinson. We have also seen Jeremy McNichols get involved of late, which could be a factor if this game goes sideways with the score.

If Ekeler makes an impact on this game, it's unlikely to be in the run game.

Pick: Austin Ekeler Under 5.5 Rush Attempts (-110) 



49ers vs. Packers

San Francisco 49ers Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
4:25 p.m. ET
Green Bay Packers Logo
Header First Logo

Jauan Jennings Anytime TD Scorer (+260)

Header Trailing Logo

By Grant Neiffer

This game should be a fun one, even without Brock Purdy.

With how the 49ers have been using Jauan Jennings, these odds for him to score are way too high.

Jennings has essentially taken on the Brandon Aiyuk role — he's seen 11 targets in each of the 49ers' last two games. Jennings is playing as the WR1 at the moment with Deebo Samuel's struggles, and it's only a matter of time before this offense gets going again. Jennings has been used heavily in the red zone.

Jennings has seen two red-zone targets in each of the last two games and already has four touchdowns on the season. He should continue to see massive volume, and I have the true odds here under +200.

Pick: Jauan Jennings Anytime TD Scorer (+275) 



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