Malik Willis — Over 85.5 Passing Yards
The Titans are resting Ryan Tannehill tonight, which means Logan Woodside will likely play most of the first half before they turn to third-round rookie Malik Willis to close out the game.
There is a reasonable chance we see Willis come in during the second quarter, meaning there is some hidden value in taking the over 85.5. Even if Willis only plays the second half, I think he should clear this number.
The Titans have a wide-open competition for the Nos. 2-5 slots on their WR depth chart, so we could see Treylon Burks, Kyle Philips, Dez Fitzpatrick and Racey McMath running routes for Willis, which should help him considerably.
Despite being a dual-threat quarterback, I don’t expect the Titans to call many designed run plays for Willis. They'll likely want him to attempt passes, in structure, at a higher rate in his debut.
I’m projecting the former Liberty star for closer to 100.5 passing yards.
Corey Clement — Under 21.5 Rushing Yards
The Ravens will have a fairly crowded backfield tonight and should use all five backs evenly.
Clement has been around the league, and the Ravens already know what they have in him. I’m expecting Tyler Badie, Justice Hill and Nate McCrary to see the most work out of the backfield tonight, with Clement maybe seeing 4-5 rush attempts at the most.
I’m projecting him closer to 17.5 rushing yards.
Keelan Doss — Under 14.5 Receiving Yards
The Giants might be dressing 8-10 wide receivers for tonight’s game, making it tougher for any given player to see two or more receptions. Doss seems like he will be lower on the pecking order of who the Giants want/need to see in action tonight.
Doss could clear this number with a single reception but will typically need two or more in order to clear it. I like taking my chances here and think he has a pretty low floor tonight.
I’m projecting him closer to 11.5 receiving yards.
Tre Nixon — Under 2 Receptions
The Patriots may only dress 6-8 WRs tonight since they're resting quite a few players. Tre Nixon should see plenty of playing time tonight, but he will likely be below Tyquan Thornton, Kristian Wilkerson and Lil’Jordan Humphrey in the target pecking order.
I’m projecting Nixon closer to 1.5 receptions and like the insurance of "pushing" if he gets exactly two receptions. I would say it’s far more likely he finishes with between 0-2 receptions than it is he will have three or more.
