Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season concludes with a Monday Night Football matchup between the Seahawks and Giants, and we are locked and loaded with a full slate of player prop picks for this primetime clash between two of last year’s NFC Wild Card teams.
Let's take a look at our top three player props for Seahawks vs. Giants, which includes picks for Daniel Jones, Geno Smith and Matt Breida.
Seahawks vs Giants Player Props for Monday Night Football
In the table below, you'll find each of our NFL staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Seahawks vs. Giants
Geno Smith
Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-120)
Not only are the Seahawks the better overall team, but this is also a favorable matchup for Seattle when it comes to strengths vs. weaknesses.
The Seahawks have no issue leaning on the aerial attack for the bulk of their production. They ranked 12th in passing yardage last year at 231 yards per game, and they are tracking for a similar number this season, currently 13th at 228 passing yards per game.
On the flip side, the Giants defense has been pretty terrible in general, ranked 30th in scoring at 32.7 points allowed per game. However, they’ve particularly struggled against the pass, highlighted by the Giants ranking 26th in yards allowed per pass attempt, as opposed to ranking 16th in yards allowed per rush attempt.
Geno Smith completed just 62% of his passes for 112 yards in a frustrating loss to the Rams to open the season, but in Weeks 2 and 3, he completed 55-of-77 pass attempts for 624 yards in wins over the Lions and Panthers. All that to say: Even if you like the Giants in this spot, Smith passing props are still worth a look.
Personally, my favorite prop of the bunch is over 1.5 touchdown passes at -120. Smith has thrown for 2+ TDs in just one of three games, though he's managed to connect for at least one TD in all three contests.
Last year, Smith threw for 2+ touchdowns in 13-of-18 games, which includes a pair of TD passes in a playoff loss to San Francisco. His prop lines for completions (21.5) and passing yards (250) are a little bit inflated, but I really like the value on his TD passes line.
Seahawks vs. Giants
Daniel Jones
Over 0.5 Interception (+120)
The Giants defense has been terrible, surrendering 28+ points in all three of their contests thus far. But against all odds, their offense has actually been slightly worse.
They’ve scored a grand total of 12 points and turned the ball over five times in their 10 quarters of play aside from their stunning 31-point second half performance against Arizona. New York was 31st in points scored and 30th in points allowed entering the week.
Daniel Jones is becoming somewhat notorious for his struggles under the bright lights. He owns a career record of 1-12 SU and 5-8 ATS in primetime, which includes a record of 0-5 SU at home.
Last year, Jones did a pretty good job of protecting the football — he threw just five interceptions in 16 regular season starts. However, things have been much different out of the gate this year, as he’s nearly matched his previous total with four interceptions through three games.
He (probably) won’t throw an interception in all 17 contests, but it’s tough to pass up the plus-money opportunity.
Pick: Daniel Jones Over 0.5 Interception (+120)
Seahawks vs. Giants
Matt Breida
Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Similar to New York, the Seahawks defense has also struggled, surrendering at least 27 points in each of their games.
That said, teams haven’t moved the ball on the ground efficiently against Seattle's defensive front, as it currently ranks sixth in rushing yards allowed per game and third in yards allowed per carry. On the other side of that same coin, the secondary has been atrocious, ranking 31st in passing yards allowed per game and 28th in yards allowed per attempt.
Last week against San Francisco, Matt Breida got the start at running back in Saquon Barkley’s absence and rushed just four times for 17 yards and a touchdown in a contest the Giants trailed the entire time. In theory, Breida should get more volume in what has the makings of a far more competitive game against Seattle.
Breida, however, split carries 50-50 with Gary Brightwell in his first and only start of the year. Brightwell rushed four times for just five yards against the 49ers.
Barring Breida breaking loose for a long run, he will likely need 10+ carries to clear his rushing number, which is ground volume that he hasn’t received since December 2020, when he carried the ball 12 times for 86 yards in Week 15 as a member of the Dolphins.
Give me Breida’s under on Monday night.
