The number in parenthesis is a confidence rating from 1-10.
Omar Bayless (Chiefs) — Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (8)
Bayless has been nursing a back injury so he might be limited, and I’m not expecting him to see enough targets to clear this number. I’m projecting him closer to 12.5.
Justin Watson (Chiefs) — Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (6)
I’m always careful in taking the over for receiving props in Week 1 of the preseason because targets are tough to come by with a lot of teams using a 8-10 WR rotation.
However, I think the Chiefs want to get a good look at Watson today since he has impressed so far in camp. I’m only projecting him for 17.5 receiving yards, which means this is my least confident prop, but I do like his upside today.
Sam Ehlinger (Colts) — Under 75.5 Pass Yards (8)
Sam Ehlinger will likely start the second half for the Colts. If they decide to let Jack Coan have the entire fourth quarter, though, it’ll be tough for Ehlinger to clear this prop.
This is essentially a bet of Ehlinger not playing the entire second half. I’m projecting this closer to 60.5.
Matt Barkley (Bills) — Under 110.5 Pass Yards (6)
Barkley will likely play the entire second half, but this line is way too high. I’m projecting it closer to 97.5.
