The number in parenthesis is a confidence rating from 1-10.
Quarterbacks
Jacob Eason (Seahawks) — Under 80.5 Passing Yards (8)
The Seahawks are likely going to give Geno Smith and Drew Lock 1-1 1/2 quarters as they battle it out to be the Week 1 starter. I can’t imagine Eason plays more than 1-1 1/2 quarters, which means he will have to be pretty efficient to clear this number. I’m projecting him closer to 65.5 pass yds.
Running Backs
Rachaad White (Buccaneers) — Over 28.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (8)
The Bucs are very thin at RB today and likely don’t need to see much from veterans like Kenjon Barner or Gio Bernard today. I expect Ke'Shawn Vaughn and Rachaad White to split most of the touches today.
Let’s have some fun and root for the dynamic rookie out of Arizona State today. The rushing + receiving prop fails to account for White’s pass-catching ability. I have this closer to 33.5 total yards and love his upside today.
Abram Smith (Saints) — Over 18.5 Rushing Yards (8)
The Saints may rest Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram, which would leave them very thin at RB. They'll want to get a good look at Smith and could feed him six or more rushing attempts. I’m projecting him closer to 24.5 rush yards.
Trey Ragas (Rams) — Under 22.5 Rushing Yards (8)
The Rams added Ragas a couple weeks ago just as a camp body. He should see a few carries in today’s game, but I’m not expecting the Rams to give him enough work to clear this number.
If rookie Kyren Williams ends up suiting up for the Rams, I'll upgrade this to a 9 confidence rating. I’m projecting Ragas closer to 15.5 rush yards.
Wide Receivers
Preston Williams (Dolphins) — Over 1.5 Receptions (6)
The Dolphins are rumored to be floating trade offers for Preston Williams. I'm not sure what they expect to get in return, but they could showcase him today to increase his stock.
Williams will likely be running routes with Teddy Bridgewater under center for the first few series as one of his top targets. I think there’s a solid chance we see him catch a couple of passes early.
Braylon Sanders (Dolphins) — Under 1.5 Receptions (8)
Sanders seems like a longshot to make the roster, and I don’t see him getting enough playing time or targets to haul in two or more catches.
Jason Moore (Chargers) — Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (10)
Moore has missed practice time with a soft tissue injury. Even if he does suit up, I can’t imagine he will play much.
There is a decent chance this prop turns into a DNP as a push, so keep that in mind when making your builds.
Chris Conley (Texans) — Under 1.5 Receptions (8)
The Texans will have a crowded WR depth chart today and might not need to see a veteran like Conley in the game for too long.
Jalen Guyton (Chargers) — Under 2 Receptions (9)
The Chargers are playing it safe by resting most of their starters. Guyton is a key player in the second unit, so Los Angeles may limit his playing time a bit here.
Guyton is a speedy deep threat who could go over his yardage prop on a single catch, so I like the value we get by taking the under two receptions.
