NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Wild Card Saturday

NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Wild Card Saturday article feature image
Credit:

Getty Images. Pictured: Calvin Austin III, Isaiah Likely, Joe Mixon, Will Dissly

On the Fantasy Flex podcast, NFL analysts Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon gave out their favorite players to watch for each game on the slate. These are players worth targeting not just in DFS, but also in the Anytime Touchdown market.

For Super Wild Card Weekend, Koerner and Raybon alternated giving out players for all six games, and what we wound up with were at least two players to bet in each Wild Card Round game this weekend.

As a reminder, Anytime Touchdown markets are volatile and odds are constantly on the move. Therefore, it's important to check out our NFL Prop Projections page before making your bets. Our NFL prop projections are powered by Koerner, the most accurate fantasy football ranker in the industry in 2023 (and 2015-2017, for that matter). There, you can see the best odds for each player as well as the edge based on our projections against the market.

As a reminder, you can catch Fantasy Flex all season long and throughout the playoffs on the Action App or wherever you find your podcasts, and listen to the latest episode below.

Here are Koerner's and Raybon's favorite picks for Saturday's NFL playoff games: Chargers vs. Texans and Steelers vs. Ravens.

NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks



Chargers vs. Texans

Chargers Logo
Saturday, Jan 11
4:30 p.m. ET
CBS
Texans Logo
Chargers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3
-105
41.5
-115o / -105u
-162
Texans Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3
-115
41.5
-115o / -105u
+136
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
DraftKings Logo
Header First Logo

Will Dissly

Sean Koerner: It's been a couple of months since I've been able to gush about Will Dissly. Those were better times, so let's go back to the well here with him.

As you might remember, he went on that mini-tear as the lead tight end from about Week 6 through 13 and then he dealt with a few injuries and has been in and out of the lineup.

Last week we saw him finally return to that full-time role that he had when he went on that tear. He ran a route on 71% of Justin Herbert's drop-backs and that was the first time since Week 12 that he cleared 70%.

So this is a good time to hop back on the Dissly bus.

Header First Logo

Joe Mixon 2+ TDs

Sean Koerner: Joe Mixon was kind of quiet down the stretch and actually held scoreless through the final four games of the season, so I think this is a good time to buy low.

When it comes to goal line usage, Mixon was one of the most dominant in the league in terms of percentage of team rush attempts inside the five-yard line, seeing 88% of the Texans' goal line attempts this season. Only Derrick Henry had a higher rate at 90%.

The only other running back who actually saw a goal line touch for the Texans this year was Cam Akers — he plays for the Vikings now.

So Mixon has quite literally zero competition around the goal line in Houston.

Quickslip



Steelers vs. Ravens

Steelers Logo
Saturday, Jan 11
8 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Ravens Logo
Steelers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+9.5
-112
43.5
-110o / -110u
+370
Ravens Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-9.5
-108
43.5
-110o / -110u
-485
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
DraftKings Logo
Header First Logo

Isaiah Likely

Chris Raybon: Isaiah Likely is second on the Ravens with 13 red-zone targets. He leads the team with eight targets inside the 10, and that's despite being behind Mark Andrews for most of the year.

Over the last two weeks, he's had a 74% route run rate, and while Nelson Agholor is expected back this week, Zay Flowers is out, so I still expect Likely to operate as kind of the de facto slot receiver for the Ravens, especially when they're in scoring range.

Header First Logo

Calvin Austin III

Chris Raybon: It's hard to have confidence in any Steelers after their performance against a bad Bengals defense last week, but I'm going with Calvin Austin III.

Three of Austin's four touchdowns this year have come with Russell Wilson under center. George Pickens being on the field actually tends to help him, possibly just because Pickens draws coverage away from Austin.

He also has a punt return touchdown this year, and if you'll recall, Austin did score a touchdown in his first and only playoff game last year in a 31-17 loss to the Bills.

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About the Author
Sean Koerner leads predictive analytics at Action Network, specializing in sports projections and fantasy rankings. With over 20 years of experience, he's a top expert in the field, consistently ranking first in the FantasyPros Accuracy standings multiple times. Known for his in-depth content on NFL betting and fantasy football, Sean also co-hosts popular podcasts and can do projections for all sports, making him a go-to source for accurate sports predictions.

Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.

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