Dalton Schultz
ATD +210 (FanDuel)
Since Dak Prescott’s return, Schultz has come alive.
When Cooper Rush was starting, Schultz was averaging just under two targets per game. With Prescott, he’s averaging 6.4. There’s no coincidence Schultz has scored all three of his touchdowns with Prescott.
The Jaguars rank in the bottom five in defensive DVOA against tight ends. They’ve allowed five scores to the position, and four of those have come over their last five games.
Considering Schultz is third amongst all tight ends in red-zone targets (14), I like my chances.
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Chris Moore
ATD +260 (bet365)
With half of the Texans offense ruled out, Moore is their WR1 by default. He’s certainly taken advantage, playing over 80% of snaps and being targeted 10 times against Dallas last week.
The Chiefs have been horrendous against receivers this season. They’re last in the NFL with 19 TDs allowed to the position. They just let Jerry Jeudy have the game of his life (three touchdowns) when it was super obvious who the targets were going to.
The game script is lining up for a Chiefs blowout, which means the Texans are likely to throw more in an attempt to put up points.
If you don’t like Moore, you could try Phillip Dorsett. He’ll be the other main Houston receiver and I see his odds around +350 to +400.
Zach Wilson
ATD +600 (FanDuel)
If you can find a bigger motivation spot than this, I dare you to find it because Wilson is legitimately playing for his job.
He has five rushing touchdowns in 20 games played. Notably, he had four in a five-game stretch last season. He was actually up to 12U in profit had you blindly bet his TD prop each week in 2021.
The Lions haven’t exactly succeeded in slowing opposing rushing attacks, as they’ve allowed over five yards per carry and 13 rushing scores.
Getting a quarterback at home, in cold weather and with his job on the line, I expect Wilson to be assertive in the red zone and win back this locker room.
