The late slate of games in the NFL for Week 8 is odd. Titans vs. Texans? Commanders vs. Colts? The number of West Coast matchups is slim this week, so this is what we have.
The Action Labs Player Props tool shows value in picks for every single game throughout Week 8, but I've chosen two to highlight, one at 4:05 p.m. ET and the other in the massive 49ers vs Rams matchup.
These picks have been made using Sean Koerner's expert projections at Action Labs. Let's see if we can find some value in the numbers for Week 8's late slate.
Derrick Henry
Over 22.5 Rush Attempts (BetMGM)
As if you didn’t need more reason to back Derrick Henry, Malik Willis is going to make his first career start on Sunday in Houston. Ryan Tannehill is out, so the Titans offense will no doubt look to run through its go-to guy in Week 8.
Then there’s the matchup against the Texans, against whom Henry has historically thrived.
The Houston defense’s Rush DVOA is 32, dead last in the NFL. Henry has gone over this total in each of the Titans’ last three games, all of which were wins.
Henry in his career is averaging 6.1 yards per carry against the Texans, and he’s averaging more than 100 rushing yards in 10 career matchups against them.
Action Labs projects Henry for 24.4 carries against the Texans. Add in Willis making his first career start, and there’s good reason to believe he goes over this number on the road.
Allen Robinson
Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM)
Thoughts and prayers to anyone who drafted Allen Robinson. He has gone under this receiving yards total in four of the Rams’ first six games of the season.
Last week against the Panthers, there were signs of hope with five receptions for 63 yards and a touchdown. This week, there are signs that Robinson will not be making a similar impact.
Firstly, Robinson had two catches on six targets for seven yards in the Rams’ first matchup against the 49ers back in Week 4. He was on the field for 99% of snaps.
Secondly, the Rams get Van Jefferson back this week, and Sean McVay told reporters on Friday that he was expecting the WR to get a full workload in his season debut. Jefferson has a strong rapport with Matthew Stafford, having thrived last season as the Rams made a run toward a Super Bowl win.
We aren’t going to get too excited about Robinson’s one nice week. His Action Labs projection shows huge value on this prop, with Koerner’s numbers pegging him for just 25.9 receiving yards against San Francisco.
