Rams vs. Bucs Odds
| Spread | Bucs -2.5 |
| Over/Under | 48 (-110/-110) |
| Time | 3 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Updated odds via DraftKings. Find real-time NFL odds here. | |
When the Rams and Bucs met in Week 3, Los Angeles won as a short home underdog, 34-24. Now the Rams are once again plus-money, this time on the road in Tampa Bay for their Divisional Round showdown with Tom Brady and Co. But our experts don't see value on this spread.
Find out why they're targeting a trio of unders on Sunday afternoon instead.
Rams vs. Bucs Picks
| Click on a pick to skip ahead |
|---|
| Full-Game Under |
| First-Half Under |
| Tom Brady Under 294.5 Pass Yards |
Under 48
written by Sean Koerner
When these teams met in Week 3, the total was 55, and the over hit with the Bucs winning 34-24. But there have been a handful of changes since then that have lowered the scoring environment for this matchup.
The Rams suffered a huge loss with left tackle Andrew Whitworth expected to miss with ankle and knee injuries. Their offense is going to struggle running the ball as a result — they’ve run the ball at the eighth-highest rate over the past five weeks, for context — and Matthew Stafford likely won’t have enough time in the pocket to air it out, possibly opting for more throws underneath.
The Bucs offense has changed significantly since that first meeting as they’re now without Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Right tackle Tristan Wirfs and center Ryan Jensen are questionable, and even if either suit up, they’re likely to be playing at less than 100%. I’m expecting Tom Brady to run a similar quick-hitting passing attack — his 2.17 time to throw last week was by far the lowest — and lean on the running game with Leonard Fournette expected back.
I’m projecting this closer to 46.5 and would bet it down to 47.5 (check real-time NFL odds here).
1H Under 24
written by Raheem Palmer
Both of these teams come into this game with issues on the offensive line.
The Rams with be missing left tackle Andrew Whitworth, who hurt his right knee in their wild-card win over the Cardinals on Monday night. And on the other side, Bucs center Ryan Jensen and right tackle Tristan Wirfs each suffered ankle injuries in last week's win over of the Eagles.
I'm expecting both of these pass rushes to cause problems early on with the Rams ranking first in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate and the Bucs ranking 10th.
The last time these teams played, we got only 21 first-half points, and that was with offensive units that were at full strength. Now the Bucs won't have Chris Godwin or Antonio Brown while the Rams won't have Robert Woods.
I'll play the first-half under in what should be a surprising defensive battle in a game with Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford, but I would only play it at 24 or better.
Tom Brady Under 294.5 Pass Yards
written by Sean Koerner
Even if Bucs right tackle Tristan Wirfs and center Ryan Jensen are upgraded from questionable to active, they likely won't be 100%, which means Brady could opt for a quick passing attack like he did last week with a 2.17 time to throw and low 4.6 aDot.
Leonard Fournette's return will also allow the Bucs to run more.
I'm projecting Brady for closer to 284.5 yards and would bet the under down to 290.5 yards.
