Chris Raybon reveals his top five NFL playoff props for Wild Card Weekend on PrizePicks, featuring Matthew Stafford and Joe Mixon overs.
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NFL Playoff Props
Matthew Stafford Over 270.5 Pass Yards
Monday's Cardinals-Rams matchup is one of only two indoor games on Wild Card weekend and should be played at fast pace — the Rams and Cardinals are fourth and seventh in situation-neutral pace, respectively, per Football Outsiders.
Stafford has hit over 278 passing yards in 12-of-17 games this season, finishing with 287 and 280 in his two games against the Cardinals.
Joe Mixon Over 0.5 Rush TD
Mixon scored at least one rushing touchdown in 10-of-17 games this season, including in seven of nine games at home in Cincinnati, where the Bengals will host the Raiders on Saturday. Las Vegas' 16 rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs is also the fifth-most in the NFL.
Deebo Samuel Over 26.5 Rush Yards
Samuel has had 29+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight games, averaging 6.6 carries over that stretch and 6.2 yards per carry this season. Last time he made a postseason appearance (2019), Samuel's carries more than doubled from 0.9 per game in the regular season to 2.0 per game in the playoffs.
C.J. Uzomah Under 23.5 Rec Yards
Uzomah has had 20 or fewer receiving yards in four of his last seven games. The Raiders are also the most zone-heavy defense in NFL, and Uzomah's 0.97 Yards Per Route Run (YPPR) versus zone is notably worse than his 1.67 YPRR against man.
With no Riley Reiff at right tackle, Uzomah will also have to help chip in against Raiders DE Maxx Crosby.
Leonard Fournette Over 60.5 Rush Yards
Editor's Note: This prop was posted before news broke that Fournette would be inactive against the Eagles on Sunday.
Fournette has had 67+ rushing yards in six of the last 11 games and had 63+ in three of the four playoff games last season. Ronald Jones is out, so Fournette should carry the full rushing load — maybe he cedes some passing-down work to Giovani Bernard, but with 20+ mph winds expected in Tampa Bay and the Bucs favored by more than a touchdown, this should be a run-heavy game script for them.
