After a doubleheader last night, we have three NFL preseason games tonight. Falcons–Dolphins, Texans–Steelers and Eagles–Ravens are our matchups tonight.
I went 2-1 with my PrizePicks plays last night. Now, onto tonight's three games.
Note: The number after each player's pick is my confidence rating from 1-10, with 10 indicating the most possible confidence.
Sean Koerner's NFL Predictions for PrizePicks & Underdog
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
John Rhys Plumlee
Less Than 67.5 Passing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
I'm guessing Rhys Plumlee plays the final 1-1 1/2 quarters of this game. He has a ton of rushing upside that will eat into his expecting passing yards, and he may lean more on his scrambling ability since he's pretty raw as a passer.
I'm projecting this closer to 56.5.
Pick: John Rhys-Plumlee Less Than 67.5 Passing Yards (8)
Najee Harris
Less Than 17.5 Rusing Yards (7)
By Sean Koerner
The Steelers may play their starters for one or two drives, and Harris will be splitting snaps with Jaylen Warren during those. I'm not sure the Steelers have a lot to gain by giving Harris four or more carries tonight, and that's what he'd need to clear this number.
I'm projecting him closer to 14.5 rushing yards.
Pick: Najee Harris Less Than 17.5 Rusing Yards (7)
Jawhar Jordan
More Than 18.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (9)
By Sean Koerner
Jordan's playing time was cut short in the Hall of Fame Game as he checked in just before the game was called off. I expect Houston to give him added reps in this game as a result since he's a rookie and it'll want to get plenty of looks at him in the preseason.
I'm projecting this closer to 30.5.
Pick: Jawhar Jordan More Than 18.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (9)
Skylar Thompson
More Than 90.5 Passing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
I expect Mike White and Thompson to each play one half here as they're battling for the backup QB job.
Thompson has usually performed well in the preseason and cleared this number in all three Dolphins games last season. He does scramble a bit, which can hurt his passing upside, but he has a high enough floor and will see enough playing time to clear this.
I'm projecting this closer to 100.5.
Pick: Skylar Thompson More Than 90.5 Passing Yards (8)
Taylor Heinicke
Less Than 98.5 Passing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
Underdog was offering this but it's off the board as of publication. I'd keep an eye on it to see if it pops back up.
Heinicke might only play 1-1 1/2 quarters, so this is way too high. I have this closer to 65.5.
Pick: Taylor Heinicke Less Than 98.5 Passing Yards (8)
Jace McClellan
More Than 29.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (8)
Jace McClellan
More Than 23.5 Rushing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
The Falcons may only play three running backs tonight, and it'd make sense to give the sixth-round rookie the most work of the group.
McClellan's totals are too low on both sites right now. I have the rushing + receiving projected closer to 37.5 and his rushing alone at 29.5.
Picks
Jace McClellan More Than 29.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (8)
Jace McClellan More Than 23.5 Rushing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
Washington is an underrated sixth-round pick who has had a great camp. I think this is a great spot for the Dolphins to give him a ton of reps.
I'm projecting this closer to 25.5.
Pick: Malik Washington More Than 20.5 Receiving Yards
Kenny Pickett
More Than 58.5 Passing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
Jalen Hurts might get a series or two before Pickett plays the rest of the first half. I'm guessing the Eagles want to get him quite a few reps since he's their backup this season.
Pickett has typically played well in the preseason, and I think a lot of his struggles in Pittsburgh were due to former offensive coordinator Matt Canada.
I'm projecting this closer to 70.5.
Pick: Kenny Pickett More Than 58.5 Passing Yards (8)
Josh Johnson
Less Than 88.5 Passing Yards (8)
By Sean Koerner
Johnson might have to play the entire first half to clear this, but I think the Ravens will use all three of their quarterbacks pretty evenly tonight.
I'm projecting him closer to 75.5.
Pick: Josh Johnson Less Than 88.5 Passing Yards (8)
Tyrion Davis-Price
Less Than 24.5 Rushing Yards (7)
By Sean Koerner
The Eagles backfield could be crowded tonight with four backs potentially splitting most of the work. We might see Saquon Barkley and Kenneth Gainwell play a drive or two, which would make this especially crowded.
This line feels a tad high give this uncertainty. I'm projecting Davis-Price closer to 19.5 BUT I would back off the pick if Barkley and/or Gainwell is inactive.
Pick: Tyrion Davis-Price Less Than 24.5 Rushing Yards (7)
Rasheen Ali
More Than 27.5 Rushing Yards (7)
By Sean Koerner
The Ravens might only use three running backs tonight, and it's make sense to give the fifth-round rookie the most work.
I'm projecting this closer to 31.5.
Pick: Rasheen Ali More Than 27.5 Rushing Yards (7)
Malik Cunningham
Less Than 15.5 Receiving Yards (7)
By Sean Koerner
The Ravens WR room could be very crowded, and the QB-turned-WR isn't in the top half of my projections.
I'm not too thrilled about the Ravens' quarterback rotation tonight, and they'll likely be scarmbling at an above-average rate, which would eat into potential passing attempts.
Cunningham would likely need two receptions to clear this, and I'm projecting his median closer to 12.5. Receiving yards props in this range are a bit fickle, so it's lower on my confidence rating.
