Action Network's Predictive Analytics team crunched the numbers and came up with four NFL predictions for Week 15.
The data-driven picks are from Cowboys vs. Panthers, Browns vs. Chiefs, Colts vs. Broncos and the game of the week in Bills vs. Lions.
NFL Predictions Week 15
Only one of our four bets this week is on a spread or total. The other three are +450 or higher and present excellent value for bettors, according to our expert.
Cowboys vs. Panthers
Over 42.5 (-120)
By Billy Ward
I was surprised to see the total in this one fall throughout the week after opening up at 44.
Both teams have awful run defenses, which should allow the offenses to move the ball effectively throughout the game. The spread is also close enough with the Panthers being favored that Carolina should be able to avoid taking the Cowboys' solid passing attack head-on, as well.
More importantly, both quarterbacks have performed admirably in recent weeks. Cooper Rush has led the Cowboys to score at least 20 points in their last three games, all of which came against tougher defenses (by DVOA) than the Panthers.
Bryce Young has similarly performed well since stepping back into the starting job. He’s led the Panthers to at least 20 points in four of their last six games, with only the Eagles and Broncos holding them under. Those are top-five defenses, so it’s easy to look past those.
FanDuel is the first sportsbook to drop this total below 43, but don’t rush to put this one in. More might follow, and they may potentially offer better juice.
Pick: Over 42.5 (-120)
Browns vs. Chiefs
