I have three picks for both Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks tonight as Eagles vs. Patriots kicks off Week 2 of the preseason.
Let's get straight into my NFL preseason picks.
NFL Preseason Picks: Underdog & PrizePicks
In the table below, you'll find each of our NFL staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Tanner McKee
Less Than 97.5 Passing Yards
I'm expecting Jalen Hurts and the Eagles starters to rest again, with Kenny Pickett playing most of the first half.
This would be a fair projection for McKee if he plays the entire second half, but he struggled last week so I think it's a tad high. There also is a potential out if Will Grier makes an appearance and potentially closes out the game.
I'm projecting McKee closer to 80.5.
Pick: Tanner McKee Less Than 97.5 Passing Yards
Bailey Zappe
Less Than 60.5 Passing Yards
The Patriots had an odds QB rotation last week with Zappe entering the game third. They'll want to get Drake Maye increased reps tonight, as well as giving Joe Milton III an extended look.
I'm guessing we see Zappe play between one and 1 1/2 quarters tonight, but his floor is too low to have his prop this high.
I'm projecting Zappe closer to 45.5.
Pick: Bailey Zappe Less Than 60.5 Passing Yards
Lew Nichols
More Than 20.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Will Shipley, Kendall Milton, Tyron Davis-Price and Nichols will handle the bulk of the work tonight in the Eagles backfield.
Nichols played 19 snaps last week and got seven carries while also leading the backfield with nine routes run.
If Nichols sees similar playing time and usage tonight, which I think is reasonable, I'd project him closer to 27.5 rushing and receiving yards.
Pick: Lew Nichols More Than 20.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Terrell Jennings
More Than 19.5 Rushing Yards
Jennings was the Patriots' most productive running back last week with six carries for 38 yards. He's the kind of RB who I could see the Pats wanting to get a little bit more work. New England already has plenty of film on JaMycal Hasty and Kevin Harris, so getting Jennings, an undrafted rookie, more reps makes sense.
I'm projecting him closer to 23.5 rushing yards but like his upside.
Pick: Terrell Jennings More Than 19.5 Rushing Yards
Britain Covey
Less Than 23.5 Receiving Yards
Covey saw a ton of playing time last week, running 22 routes. He managed to catch all four of his targets for 25 yards. Covey mainly worked out of the slot and had a lot Average Depth of Target of 1.5 yards.
With that, there's a chance that Covey could get three or four catches tonight and still stay under this number.
The Patriots' second-unit on defense played well last week and ranked first in Pro Football Focus' coverage grade for Week 1 of the preseason. That makes this a tougher spot for Covey to clear this number.
I'm projecting Covey closer to 19.5 receiving yards. He has a very high floor, but I think he finishes just shy of this.
Pick: Britain Covey Less Than 23.5 Receiving Yards
Tanner McKee
Less Than 91.5 Passing Yards
McKee is also available on PrizePicks, but at a much lower number than on Underdog. About 87.5 would be the cutoff for how I'd play his passing yardstotal tonight.
